Florida St. vs. Georgia Tech – CFB Week 15

Week 15 of the 2014 college football season is conference championship week.  The 4th ranked Florida St.Seminoles (12-0) travel to Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC to take on the host 11th ranked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (10-2) as the teams square off in the ACC Title Game Saturday night (7:00pm ET). The Seminoles edged Florida 24-19 last week at home. Georgia Tech defeated in-state rival Georgia 30-24 on the road last week to cap a five-game winning streak at the end of the regular season. They suffered their only two defeats back-to-back in weeks 7 and 8 to Duke (31-25) and North Carolina (48-43).

Florida St.is ranked 29th nationally in scoring offense with an average of 34.6 points per game and 46th among FBS teams in total offense with 430.3 yards per contest. The Seminoles rank 27th nationally in points allowed with 22 per game and 46th in total defense 371.1 YPG allowed.

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Georgia Tech is ranked 15th nationally in scoring offense with an average of 37.2 PPG scored and 23rd among FBS teams in total offense with 469.1 YPG. The Yellow Jackets rank 42nd nationally in points allowed with 24.1 per game and 58th  in total defense 388.8 YPG allowed.

Florida St.vs. Georgia Tech Spread, Line and Betting Odds:


Florida St.Seminoles -4

@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +4

Game Total:

Over 61 (-110)

Under 61 (-110)

Betting odds taken from Bovada.lv

Florida St.vs Georgia Tech Pick

The Seminoles are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games in December, 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 neutral site games, but 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Under is 4-0 in the Seminoles’ last 4 games overall, 11-1 in their last 12 games on grass and 4-1 in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. The Under is 5-1 in the Yellow Jackets’ last 6 neutral site games, 6-2 in their last 8 games against a team with a winning record and 4-1 in their last 5 games in December. In head-to-head-play, the Seminoles are 0-3-2 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the underdog is 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

This game pits two teams with completely different styles of play offensively as FSU has a high-powered passing offense centered around last year’s Heisman Trophy winning QB Jameis Winston, while the Yellow Jackets run the ball utilizing coach Paul Johnson’s triple-option attack that has a tendency to befuddle defenses that rarely face that style of play. The Seminoles have not been the dominant team that they were a season ago, they have been living dangerously and winning with second half comebacks all season long. Winston has posted subpar numbers compared to his banner season last year, with 21 TDs and 17 INTs on the year. FSU has been terrible ATS this season, with a 3-9 record, while the Yellow Jackets have been much better at 8-4 ATS. The trend in the series also favors Georgia Tech. The Triple option attack is tough to defend, especially when an opponent has a short time to prepare for it as FSU has. Look for Georgia Tech to cover here, take the Yellow Jackets and the points.


PICK= Georgia Tech+4