Giants Packers Spread Betting Line and Prediction

The Giants loss last week was one of the most heartbreaking in recent memory. In fact, it was record breaking: it was the first time in NFL history that a game has ended on a punt return. Even before Matt Dodge was punting his way into infamy, the Giants were doing a good job giving up a 21 point 4th quarter lead. Not only did they lose a game they had all but wrapped up, but it just might cost them a playoff spot. As it stands now, the Giants still control their own fate, as a win this week will clinch them a spot. Still, it is a tall order against a Packers team that will likely have Aaron Rodgers back. Eli Manning is coming off a very impressive game, where he threw for 4 touchdowns and 289 yards against a talented Eagles defense. On the season though, Manning has had some trouble taking care of the ball, throwing for 20 interceptions and losing 5 fumbles. The difference in this one may be Manning’s ability, or lack thereof, to limit the turnovers. While Manning is integral to the Giants’ offensive plans, they still live and die by their running game. When Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs are on, New York is hard to stop. When they are limited in their success and the run game is abandoned, New York becomes much more manageable to defend against as a one-dimensional offense. The key will be to get Bradshaw and Jacobs rolling early. Bradshaw hasn’t rushed for over 100 yards since week 7 though, while Jacobs is coming off one of his worst games of the season, rushing for just 34 yards on 12 carries. To win this game, all 3 of these Giants will need to be firing on all cylinders.

The Green Bay Packers put up a good fight against the Patriots last week with Matt Flynn behind center, but they must be thrilled to know that they will have Aaron Rodgers back on Sunday barring any setbacks. This is a must win game for the Packers, as they need to win their remaining games to have any hope of the playoffs. Considering they were an early pick to win the Super Bowl, this is not the position that the Packers figured to be in, but the Rodgers concussion had a big part in playing into their last two losses. Now with him back, the Packers need Rodgers to shake off the rust, as you can bet the Giants defensive line will be quick and fierce with the pressure. Greg Jennings will probably be the happiest man to see Rodgers back, look for him to add to his team leading 65 receptions and 12 touchdowns. The rushing attack has been the Packers’ glaring weakness this season, and while Rodgers and company have been able to score points despite the lack of a rushing threat, they need Brandon Jackson to get going this week. This should be a closely contested game, so having a back that can scoop up yards and drain the clock if need be is essential in protecting any lead the Packers may have. Jackson had arguably his most consistent game of the year last week against the Pats, rushing for 99 yards on 22 carries. Another performance like that would be a huge boost for Green Bay.

This is essentially a playoff game for both sides, and the atmosphere in Green Bay should be electrifying. The Lambeau Field faithful will be out in full force, and that could be the difference in what should be a very close and physical match up. The Giants will be going up against a very sturdy defense, one which has allowed the fewest points in the league, along with Pittsburgh at 220. This puts added pressure on Eli Manning to find ways to score, but he will need Hakeem Nicks and Mario Manningham to be at their best. Green Bay has allowed the 3rd fewest passing yards per game at 192.4, so Manning certainly has his work cut out for him. On the ground the Packers are easier to handle, giving up 117 rushing yards per game, which is around the league average. This means that Bradshaw and Jacobs may have to do most of the legwork to put the Giants in good position. On the other side of the ball, Rodgers has a difficult test in his first game back. He cannot afford to show any signs of rust, or the Giants defense will be quick to capitalize. New York is, in fact, one of the two teams to allow fewer passing yards than Green Bay, giving up only 188.4 per game. They are slightly more vulnerable on the ground, but Jackson is far from an elite back, so most of Green Bay’s offense will likely come from Rodgers’ arm.

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Giants vs Packers Spread, Line and Betting Odds:


New York Giants +3
@ Green Bay Packers -3

Game Total:

Over (-110)
Under (-110)

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Giants vs Packers Betting Predictions/Picks for Week 16

Spread Prediction (Top Play): This will likely be the most riveting game of the week, and it has the potential to be a nail-biter for fans of both teams, with a playoff shot hanging in the balance. In a game this close, home field advantage becomes a big factor, as the Pack are 5-1 at home and clearly are more comfortable within the friendly confines of Lambeau Field. In fact, in their last 10 at home, Green Bay has lost ATS only twice, and are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 overall. Considering one of those was the Detroit game where Rodgers was lost early on, and its as good as only one real loss ATS in their last 8. Meanwhile, New York is 4-11 ATS against teams with winning records, and 2-8 ATS when they play on grass. All of this suggests that in a game featuring two such evenly matched teams, I’ll take the more reliable quarterback playing at home every time. Green Bay keeps their postseason hopes alive with a win.

Pick (Top Play): Packers -3

Game Total Prediction: As mentioned, Green Bay give up the fewest points in the league, but one has to credit New York as having one of the better offenses in the NFL. Eli Manning is capable of leading his team to points against any defense, and he should be good for at least a couple of touchdowns here. Green Bay, with Aaron Rodgers at the helm, is an offensive powerhouse of their own, capable of putting up huge numbers when they need to. Although both defenses are impressive, it will not be possible to hold Manning and Rodgers down for very long. The Over is 7-2 in the last 9 New York has played as the underdog, and 8-2 when the Packers are favorites of a field goal or less. This one is heading for more points than the line gives it credit for. Take the over.

Pick: Over 43

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