Georgia Bulldogs vs. Florida Gators Pick – NCAAF Week 9

The Georgia Bulldogs and Florida Gators meet in the World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party on Saturday afternoon at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville.

I’m not sure if we’re allowed to call it the Cocktail Party any longer, but I do know that this is a big annual rivalry game on a neutral field.

With how well Georgia has been playing this season and their No. 1 ranking, the stakes are high this time. Georgia are coming off a bye week after a 30-13 win over the Kentucky Wildcats on October 16.

That was a more impressive win than people are going to give the Bulldogs for. Kentucky is a good team and the Bulldogs bypassed them pretty easily.

If Georgia wins out then they are going to finish at the top of the rankings. From what we’ve seen so far from the Bulldogs, they’ve been by far the most complete team in the country.

Yes, Georgia has looked like a more complete team than Alabama, and it isn’t just because of the loss for the Crimson Tide. The Bulldogs were looking more well-rounded before Alabama even lost, but it certainly emphasized my point.

This isn’t to say that Georgia are going to steamroll to the National Championship. Nick Saban and the Crimson Tide are going to be a very tough out, and Florida hopes to knock Georgia off first before Alabama has the chance to do so.

Florida are off a bye week as well, so both teams have had the opportunity to do plenty of preparations. The Gators lost a wild one against the LSU Tigers two weeks back, 49-42. The same effort would net a loss versus Georgia. Blowout.

They will need to find a way to crack the Georgia defense or it’s going to be a long day for the team from Gainesville. The Bulldogs have been on another level than the rest of the country defensively. Head below for our free Georgia vs. Florida pick on October 30, 2021.

Georgia Bulldogs vs. Florida Gators Live Odds and Betting History:

The following odds are courtesy of BetUS:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Georgia -14 (-110) -600 Over 51 (-110)
Florida +14 (-110) +450 Under 51 (-110)
Team Data Georgia Florida
Overall Record 7-0 4-3
ATS Record 5-2-0 3-4-0
Away/Home Record NEUTRAL NEUTRAL
ATS Away/Home NEUTRAL NEUTRAL
Points Per Game 38.4 34.4
Points Against Per Game 6.6 21.1
Passing Yards Per Game 237.4 247.3
Rushing Yards Per Game 193.1 254.6

Georgia vs. Florida Prediction:

The defense has been incredibly impressive for Georgia this season. They are a top notch unit that looks like an NFL defense playing on a college football field.

This is a big and athletic defense that can cover all angles on the ground and through the air. Offenses must get creative to beat the Bulldogs’ defense.

Florida had two weeks to prepare for the Georgia defense, but is it going to be enough? The Bulldogs are first in the FBS with 6.6 points allowed per game.

They’ve conceded an impressive 144.9 passing yards per game and 64.3 rushing yards per game. It is pick your poison. This isn’t like Florida can go on the ground or through the air and exploit a weakness.

The Georgia defense doesn’t have any holes, so they’re just going to have to take advantage of the rare times that the Bulldogs blow a coverage or sleeping. Whether it’s Emory Jones or Anthony Richardson, I’m not incredibly high on the Gators moving the ball well enough.


Georgia Bulldogs vs. Florida Gators Betting Trends:

Georgia

  • 6-2 ATS in their previous eight games after a bye week
  • 9-3 ATS in their 12 games as a favorite
  • 11-4 ATS in their previous 15 games after failing to cover the spread
  • 5-2 ATS in their previous seven games versus the SEC
  • 10-4 ATS in their previous 14 games after a bye week

Florida

  • 6-1 ATS in their previous seven games after a loss
  • 6-2 ATS in their previous eight games as an underdog
  • 3-7 ATS in their previous ten games at a neutral site
  • OVER is 4-0 in their previous four games as an underdog
  • OVER is 4-0 in their previous four neutral site games

With two weeks to prepare for the Florida offense, I’m not sure how the Gators are going to move the ball. They are going to have to catch some breaks in this one.

Maybe Georgia fumbles once or twice in their territory and Florida takes advantage, but going 80 yards is not going to be easy.

It isn’t clear whether JT Daniels or Stetson Bennett are going to be starting this one. I don’t think it’s going to matter, though.

Daniels and Bennett are both capable quarterbacks that can lead this offense. The Bulldogs have scored 38.4 points and averaged 430.6 yards per game. That’s plenty with their defense.

I look at this number and see it as too low. Georgia should probably be 17 or 18.5 point favorites in this matchup. Their defense should handle Florida and leave Jacksonville with a 38-13 win.

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Georgia vs. Florida Pick
GEORGIA BULLDOGS -14