Georgia Southern vs. Eastern Michigan NCAAF Pick – Raycom Media Camellia Bowl

-3SPREAD
-112ODDS

MY PICK

GA Southern

PLACE BET!

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<p>The Raycom Media Camellia Bowl takes place this Saturday at the Cramton Bowl in Montgomery, AL. We have a meeting of two teams with contrasting styles, as the run-heavy Georgia Southern Eagles will square off with the balanced attack of the Eastern Michigan Eagles.</p>
<p>Georgia Southern’s ground and pound style has resulted in a 9-3 mark on the year, while Eastern Michigan brings a 7-5 record to the table. Both teams closed out the regular season strong, with Georgia Southern winning its final two while Eastern Michigan closed things out on a three-game winning streak.</p>
<p>It’s an interesting meeting of two under the radar smaller schools, and the close spread indicates we should be in line for a closely contested affair. Let’s break down this game in full detail, starting with what the oddsmakers have to say.</p>
<h3 class=Georgia Southern vs. Eastern Michigan, 5:30 PM EST, Sat. December 15, ESPN

Spread:

  • Georgia Southern -3 (-112)
  • E Michigan +3 (-108)

Money line:

  • Georgia Southern -155
  • Eastern Michigan +135

Total Points:

  • Over 5 (-107)
  • Under 5 (-113)


Georgia Southern vs. Eastern Michigan pick:

Georgia Southern started off the regular season incredibly strong with a record of 7-1. Its lone blemish over that span came to Clemson, the #2 team in the nation. The school cooled off and dropped two of its final four, but a 9-win season is a solid feat nonetheless.

It was a different story for Eastern Michigan, a team which got out of the gate slow and stumbled to a mark of 2-4. However, the MAC squad would turn things around in the second half in dramatic fashion and win five of its final seven games.

Record Conf. Rec. PF PA Streak Standings
Georgia Southern 9-3 6-2 373 259 W2 3-SB East
Eastern Michigan 7-5 5-3 330 264 W3 2-MAC West

Following the loss to Clemson, Georgia Southern ripped off an impressive five-game winning streak which would see them involved in only one close contest over that span, a two-point victory over Texas State. The air came out of the balloon a bit when the club dropped back-to-back games to ULM and Troy, but the club closed things out strong with two straight wins.

Eastern Michigan actually opened up the season with two wins, including a 20-19 victory on the road at Purdue, but the team would quickly fall on hard times and dropped four straight. It was looking like a lost season for the Eagles, but they woke up at the halfway mark. The team finished up by winning five of its final six, with its lone loss over that time frame coming to a tough Army team.

Offense Defense
PPG RuYdF PaYdF PtsAll RuYdA PaYdA
Georgia Southern 31.1 260.8 82.8 21.6 144.2 217.6
Eastern Michigan 27.5 149.4 228.6 22.0 192.9 160.0

While we can give Georgia Southern the edge on offense, that comes with a big caveat. The team is a powerhouse on the run, but rather anemic when it comes to the pass. Eastern Michigan brings a much more balanced attack to the table. Defense is even on an overall basis, but Georgia Southern is stronger versus the run while Eastern Michigan has more strength versus the pass.

Pressure is also even, but there’s a big disparity in QB protection. As you would expect from such a stout running team, Georgia Southern has a solid line, but there are holes to be found in Eastern Michigan’s. Georgia Southern also gets the discipline edge with a notable 30+ penalty yard per game difference.

Recent History

These two schools have never faced off, so we’ll have to rely on recent bowl history for some nuggets of information. Georgia Southern has only appeared in one other bowl game. That came back in 2015 when the team rolled to a 58-27 victory over Bowling Green in the Dollar General Bowl.

Eastern Michigan doesn’t have a noteworthy bowl history either, but the team did appear in the 2016 Bahamas Bowl, a 24-20 loss to Old Dominion. Prior to that, we have to go all the way back to 1987 to find its last appearance in a bowl, a 30-27 win over San Jose State in the California Bowl.

In last year’s edition of the Camellia Bowl, 3.5-point underdog Middle Tennessee took down Arkansas State by a score of 36-30. The favorites won the previous two editions, with Appalachian State being responsible for both wins.

The Verdict

Despite the difference in styles, this game shapes up to be a close contest. That’s further evidenced by the fact that it opened up as a pick’em. The line has moved substantially from there, as Georgia Southern is now a field goal favorite. That’s an indicator that some smart money has already come in for the Sun Belt squad.

Either way, it’s tough to see an Eastern Michigan team that has some struggles versus the run being able to successfully stifle their opponent’s triple option attack. The air will not be filled with footballs when Georgia Southern is on the field, but the team’s strength on the ground should be enough to get the job done.

We’ll take Georgia Southern minus the field goal.

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Chris Feery / Author

Chris has been covering sports professionally since 2014. Initially focused on the NFL and College Football, he has branched out to cover all of the other major team sports such as MLB, NHL, NBA, and College Basketball. Chris also has extensive experience in the world of fantasy sports. His work has been recognized on two separate occasions by the Fantasy Sports Writer's Association. From parlays to power rankings and previews to picks, Chris prides himself on delivering exceptional content with actionable information.