Georgia UCF Spread Line and Liberty Bowl Predictions

This year’s Liberty Bowl on Friday December 31 (3:30pm ET) will feature the Bulldogs of Georgia (6-6) out of the SEC squaring off against the University of Central Florida Knights (10-3) from Conference USA. Central Florida is riding a three-game winning streak coming into this contest, the Knights defeated SMU 17-7 at home in their regular season finale on December 4. Georgia has been inconsistent all season long, dropping their last 2 SEC games before finishing with a 42-34 win over Georgia Tech on November 27.Central Florida will be making their fourth ever bowl appearance and the Knights are searching for their first bowl victory.

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University of Central Florida freshman quarterback Jeff Godfrey has completed 68.4 % of his passes for 2,042 yards with 13 touchdowns and only six interceptions since taking over as a starter for Rob Calabrese in the third game of the year, earning a 9-2 record in the process. Godfrey directs an offense that averages 33.8 points per game, ranking number 24 among FBS schools, and averages 192.5 rushing yards per contest, ranking number 25 in the nation. Defensively the Knights have been stingy allowing only 18 points per game while stuffing the run, allowing only 102.5 yards per contest the sixth best total in the nation.

Redshirt freshman Aaron Murray has thrown for 2,851 yards with 24 touchdowns and only 6 interceptions in his first season as a starter for the Bulldogs. Georgia averaged 34.2 points per game this season, ranking number 22 in the country. Wide receiver A.J. Green is Murray’s top target and led the Bulldogs with 771 yards receiving and 9 touchdowns despite missing 4 games with a suspension early in the season. Defensively the Bulldogs were tough against the pass, ranking 20th in the country with 185.6 yards per game allowed through the air. Defending the run was the Achilles heel of a Bulldogs’ defense that allowed 23.1 points per game, as they ranked 65th against the run with 152.2 yards allowed per game on the ground.

The Knights are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games overall and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog. Georgia is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite but 1-6 ATS when playing a team with a winning record. The under is 7-1 in USF’s last 8 non-conference games and 5-2 in their last 7 games as an underdog. The over is 3-1-1 in Georgia’s last 5 games as a favorite and 9-4 in their last 13 neutral site games.

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Georgia vs. UCF Spread, Line and Betting Odds:


Georgia Bulldogs -6.5
@ University of Central Florida Knights +6.5

Game Total:

Over 55.5 (-110)
Under 55.5 (-110)

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Georgia vs. University of Central Florida Prediction for Liberty Bowl:

Spread Prediction (Top Play) – The Knights look like the superior team in this contest and look poised to win their first ever bowl game. Georgia has been very consistent this season despite respectable numbers on both sides of the ball and the bulldogs are getting too much respect from the odds makers based mostly on their pedigree. The Bulldogs are looking to avoid their first losing season since 1996, but they drew a touch assignment in Conference USA Champion Central Florida and the bet here is that the Knights will break through with their first ever bowl victory.

PREDICTION (TOP PLAY) – Central Florida +6.5

Over/Under Prediction – Take the over here as both quarterbacks will be able to move the ball and Central Florida should be able to run the ball very effectively against a soft Georgia run defense. Fans can expect a high-scoring game as the coaches should give their young quarterbacks more freedom after both earned their stripes in the regular season as firs-year starters.

PREDICTION – Over 55.5

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