Hawaii vs. San Diego State NCAAF Pick – Week 13

If you are looking for some nightcap action in college football, look no further than the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors and San Diego State Aztecs. If betting the final game of the night is normal to you, then you are likely familiar with the Hawaii football team. Especially when the Rainbow Warriors are playing in Hawaii and it’s a midnight start in the eastern time zone. Hawaii will travel to California for this matchup to wrap up their regular season against San Diego State. The Aztecs have not had an ideal season. Certainly not what they were looking for at the beginning of the season.

They will not be playing in the Mountain West Championship, so that right there is a failure. Boise State despite beating them, and Fresno State are more than a few steps ahead of San Diego State in 2018. It’s usually been easy for the Aztecs. They went from Donnel Pumphrey and then Rashaad Penny touting the rock for massive numbers. Now they thought it could be a plug-in-play offense at running back, but that hasn’t been the case this season. The running game has been anything that resembles 2017.

They will be going to a bowl game, though, as they have already eclipsed 6 wins with a record of 7-4. For Hawaii, going to a bowl is an accomplishment. They are going to be going to the Hawaii Bowl after defeating UNLV in Hawaii last week. And with that, Hawaii have little to play for on Saturday evening. Upsetting a decent opponent would be a nice way to cap off the season going into bowling season. San Diego State have been ripe for an upset this season and already have a loss to UNLV two weeks ago, 27-24. They’re coming off a 23-14 loss to Fresno State last week.

Their best win came in early October at Boise State, 19-13. At that point, they were looking like Mountain West contenders with their strong defensive unit. The wheels fell off after a loss to Nevada, though. Head below for our free Hawaii vs. San Diego State pick.

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. San Diego State Aztecs NCAAF Betting Odds:

Hawaii +17.5(-107)
vs. San Diego State -17.5(-113)

Over 54(-110)
Under 54(-110)

Betting odds provided by Sportsbetting.ag

Hawaii vs. San Diego State Pick:

The loss to Nevada set off a string of three losses in their last four games for the Aztecs. They recovered to beat New Mexico, but the loss to UNLV was a dagger and then Fresno State finished them off last season. They can still finish the year off strong with a 9-4 ending, though, which is nothing to get too down about. Part of the problem for San Diego State has been their quarterback play.

The running game hasn’t been as effective, so the ball has been in the hands of Christian Chapman and Ryan Agnew more than anyone would want. Chapman has dealt with injuries, opening up a spot for Agnew to get some playing time. There hasn’t been much difference between either of them, as they’ve been sharing playing time recently. They both threw for a touchdown against Fresno State last week, as the Bulldogs had the running game nailed down.

Juwan Washington has rushed for 712 yards and a 4.8-yard per carry, far off pace from the work Penny did in the backfield a season ago. The San Diego State offense won’t have to be perfect against Hawaii, though. The Rainbow Warriors are 103rd in the nation with 442 yards allowed per game. They’ve also given up 36 points per game. The Aztecs should be able to move the ball here at home.

Conversely, San Diego State are 12th in the nation with 310 yards allowed per game. While it hasn’t been a perfect picture year for them, the defense has shown up to compete. Running the ball has been awfully difficult on them, with only 97.3 yards allowed per. What motivation does Hawaii have to travel from the islands to play this game?

I think last week was effectively their last game of the regular season. They have their minds on the Hawaii Bowl now, but they still have a physical San Diego State team to play this week. The Aztecs have felt embarrassed since getting knocked off by UNLV. They got caught looking ahead and were burned for it. On pride alone, San Diego State have something to play for Saturday. Then on the other side, the Rainbow Warriors are likely in for a letdown after securing their spot in the Hawaii Bowl. They should be able to do enough to get a 42-20 or 35-14 win against Hawaii.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.