No. 9 Indiana (4-0) at No. 3 Ohio State (3-0)
Ohio State holds a 76-12-5 advantage in the series, but the Hoosiers are ranked in the Top 10 for the first time in back-to-back weeks for the first time since 1967. The Buckeyes have won 25 in a row dating back to a tie in 1990. Indiana last defeated Ohio State in 1988. This is Indiana’s first regular season Top 10 showdown in the 120-year history of IU football.
Vs. The Spread
The Hoosiers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games and the total has gone OVER in six of the Hoosiers’ last seven road encounters. The Buckeyes are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games while Ohio State has gone UNDER in four of their last five home games which have been played on a Saturday.
|Teams||Spread||Money Line||Total Points|
|Indiana||+20.5 (-110)||+750||O 66.5 (-118)|
|Ohio State||-20.5 (-110)||-1200||U 66.5 (-112)|
Indiana’s defense was on point in a 24-0 pasting of Michigan State as the Spartans never made it past the Hoosiers’ 38-yard line. The defense held Sparty to 191 yards (60/131) and recorded four turnovers. Ty Fryfogle had 200 receiving yards and two touchdowns as quarterback Michael Pennix, Jr. continued to be a dominant leader.
Ohio State’s matchup with Maryland was postponed due to COVID-19. The Buckeyes rolled past Rutgers, 49-27, two weeks ago behind Heisman Trophy candidate Justin Fields who complete 24-of-38 passes for 314 yards and five touchdowns. Wide receiver Garrett Wilson had his third consecutive 100-yard receiving game.
When Indiana Has the Ball
Here is an amazing stat – The Hoosiers are 88th in total offense (362.8 yards) and 118th in rushing (95.3 yards), yet they average 33 points per game. Much of that is on the leadership and consistency of Pinnix, who is 9-1 as the Indiana starting quarterback. He has completed 60.7 percent of his passes for 1,070 yards (1st in Big Ten) and nine touchdowns (2nd in Big Ten). Fryfogle and Whop Philyor, a pair of veteran receivers, as they have 10 career touchdown catches each.
Defensively, the Buckeyes have given up 131 yards per game, but Indiana’s inability to get anything going on the ground in it’s first four games will probably negate the potential to run on Ohio State. However, if Pinnix is on point, he should be able to move the ball through the air as Ohio State has only one interception in it’s first three outings. Tommy Togiai leads the Buckeyes with three quarterback sacks.
When Ohio State Has the Ball
Fields has been a force to start the season with 11 touchdowns and no interceptions around an 86.7 completion percentage. Garrett Wilson and Chris Olave are thriving with Fields at quarterback as Olave averages 16 yards per catch. Master Teague and Trey Sermon give Fields nice complementary pieces as running back as the rushing attack has churned out 208.7 yards.
Indiana’s calling card is the defense as the Hoosiers allow only 320 yards per game. The pass rush will be on notice as IU has recorded 12 sacks already this season as Micah McFadden and Tiawan Mullen supply most of the heat as McFadden had nine tackles, two sacks, and three tackles-for-loss in the win over the Spartans. Jaylin Williams has three interceptions for IU and will look forward to his matchup with Garrett Wilson. The Hoosiers have scored 51 points on 12 takeaways this season.
Winner: Ohio State (-20.5) 42, Indiana 20
Over-Under: Take Under 66.5