Iowa State Cyclones vs. Texas Longhorns Pick – NCAAF Week 13

Thanksgiving is for the NFL, while Black Friday is for college football. There were three games scheduled for Thanksgiving in the NFL, but the nightcap was cancelled because of the coronavirus within the Baltimore Ravens organization. The afternoon games were duds, but the Steelers and Ravens would have been a must-watch event.

That game hasn’t been scraped, though, just pushed back to Sunday afternoon. The game will stay on NBC, so if you are looking to watch the Steelers and Ravens that’s where you can find it. There are seven college games scheduled to be played on Friday.

Many games have had to be postponed or cancelled completely throughout the college season. There are so many games that have pulled because of the pandemic, but it’s harder to notice with college because of how many games there are in a week. Unless it’s a marquee matchup, it goes largely unnoticed.

The biggest games that have been cancelled this week includes Tennessee-Vanderbilt and Oklahoma-West Virginia. By the time you read this, there might be another placed off the burner, so fingers crossed that isn’t the case. The biggest game of the early matchups on Black Friday has to be the Iowa State Cyclones and Texas Longhorns in Austin. This should be a highly entertaining Big 12 matchup.

Big 12 far too often has unwatchable games because of blowouts, but Iowa State and Texas should provide intrigue throughout. Iowa State are coming off a 45-0 dismantling of Kansas State last week. Since losing to Louisiana Lafayette in Week 1, 31-14, the only loss for Iowa State was a coin flip game against Oklahoma State, 24-21.

Iowa State is on a three-game winning streak going into Austin. Their tightest call in those three games was against Baylor, a 38-31 win on November 3. Kansas and Kansas State were both easy work for the Cyclones. Overall, Iowa State is going into Austin with a record of 6-2 on Friday.

Texas enters at 5-2 and comes off a long layoff after beating West Virginia, 17-13, on November 7. Their lone ranked win was over Oklahoma State in overtime, 41-34. This is the final game for quarterback Sam Ehlinger at home. I don’t think he’s going to go out quietly, though Iowa State is not going to be a cakewalk. Head below for our free Iowa State vs. Texas pick for November 27, 2020.

Iowa State Cyclones vs. Texas Longhorns Big 12 Football Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Iowa St. +1 (-110)
  • Texas -1 (-110)
Moneyline:

  • Iowa St. -106
  • Texas -114
Total:

  • Over 56.5 (-105)
  • Under 56.5 (-115)

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Iowa State vs. Texas Prediction:

Did Texas really deserve to beat Oklahoma State on October 31? If Oklahoma State didn’t make as many mistakes as they did, then no Texas does not win. Avoiding unforced errors is part of playing football, though, so in that sense the Longhorns deserved the 41-34 overtime win. In any event, Oklahoma State outgained Texas significantly, with 530 yards as opposed to just 287 yards for the Longhorns. They had 400 passing yards to 169 yards for Texas. A cleaner game by the Cowboys at home and they’re celebrating an easy win.

The defense still has a lot to work out going into next season for Texas. We’re too deep into the season to say they’re suddenly going to turn on a switch. The Longhorns’ defense was in better form against West Virginia on November 7, though the Mountaineers did not pose much of an offensive challenge. West Virginia has had a good year for their defense, but the offense has taken a couple of steps back since Will Grier left campus.

Texas has conceded 401 yards and 29.7 points per game in 2020. If they played a full schedule, I suspect that number would be a lot worse. Skewing their numbers are matchups against bad offenses. For instance, games against UTEP, Baylor, and West Virginia have struggled offensively this season versus just about everyone. When the Longhorns were pressed into action against quality offenses the results looked a lot different.

Brock Purdy has been steady under center for Iowa State this season. He’s passed for 13 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 63.7% completions. Purdy is a deceptive runner as well. He can move. On 55 carries, Purdy has gained 253 yards and 3 touchdowns on 4.6 yards per carry. The ground game is the focal point of the Cyclones’ offense. Breece Hall has been chewing up defenses. He’s one of the best running backs I’ve seen run in 2020.

Hall has gained 1,169 yards and 15 touchdowns on 6.5 yards per carry. Just like everyone else they’ve played this year, The Longhorns likely have trouble shutting Hall down out of the backfield. Iowa State has a big advantage defensively. They’ve yielded 333.8 yards and 23.4 points per game for third in the Big 12. This should be a good one, but I’m convinced to side with the much more well-rounded team in Austin. Give me Matt Campbell over Tom Herman.

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The Bet
IOWA STATE CYCLONES +1
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.