Kansas Jayhawks vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Pick – NCAAF Week 14

The Kansas Jayhawks and Texas Tech Red Raiders meet for what amounts to one of the most meaningless games in the Big 12. Kansas is searching for a victory late in the season to break up a winless campaign. They head into Saturday with an embarrassing mark of 0-8. Les Miles has been having a hard time getting Kansas on track. They haven’t been a competitive program since Mark Mangino was the head coach. In 2007, Mangino was named the AP Head Coach of the Year.

Kansas went 12-1 including a win in the Orange Bowl under the guidance of Mangino. The Jayhawks regressed the following two seasons, and Mangino resigned after news of player mistreatment surfaced. Kansas has been a bottom feeder in the Big 12 since then. At this point, they’d be better served playing in the Mountain West, but a Power Five conference certainly isn’t it. The idea was for former LSU head coach, Les Miles, to turn this football team around. However, they’ve been continuing to drown without any sign of improvement.

It’s not easy to recruit at Kansas after all of the years of terrible football for over a decade in Lawrence. Miles’ hands are tied with the talent that he has at his disposal, but you would have believed at least a win or two out of the Jayhawks in 2020. With only two games left in the season, Kansas is well on pace to go 0-10 without a win this season. They are underdogs against Texas Tech on Saturday, and will be guaranteed to be an underdog against the Texas Longhorns.

Texas Tech has some wins this season, but maybe not enough to go bowling. The six-win barometer has been canned for bowls this season, though at 3-6 going into Saturday, Texas Tech likely haven’t been good enough for a bowl committee to want them at their game. Kansas is their final game of the season, so the best they can hope for is 4-6. Their wins have been against Houston Baptist, 35-33, West Virginia, 34-27, and Baylor, 24-23. Even if a bowl wants to go with a four-win team, they can probably find better than the Red Raiders. Head below for our free Kansas vs. Texas Tech pick for December 4, 2020.

Kansas Jayhawks vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders NCAAF Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Kansas +26 (-115)
  • Texas Tech -26 (-105)
Moneyline:

  • Kansas +1250
  • Texas Tech -3000
Total:

  • Over 62 (-110)
  • Under 62 (-110)

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Kansas vs. Texas Tech Prediction:

If Kansas is going to pull off the upset, it’s going to come with their offense against a beatable Texas Tech defense. I’m not saying that Kansas has some amazing offense, but the Red Raiders can be leaky defenfensively. The Red Raiders’ defense is giving up 470.6 yards and 39.2 points per game. Kansas has scored an average of just 16.4 points and 264.9 yards per game. I’m not going to fault what they did too much last week against the TCU Horned Frogs. Quarterback Miles Hendrick had a productive day at the office with 2 touchdowns and 1 interception through the air.

He connected on 11 for 18 passing and 166 yards, while Amauri Pesek-Hickson romped on the ground for 100 yards and 4.5 yards per carry. Kansas still took a 56-23 loss because their abysmal defense failed to get a stop. That’s been the case often for the Jayhawks this season. Their defense has allowed more than 50 points a game on a regular basis. That was the fourth straight game that Kansas has conceded over 50 points, and it’s the sixth of eighth game that Kansas has given up more than 40 points a game.

The Kansas defense ranks dead last in the FBS with an average of 49.8 points conceded per game. They have also allowed 465.4 yards per game through eight games. The Red Raiders should be able to slice through this defense with ease. Texas Tech has accumulated 431.7 yards and 30.3 points per game. This offense has seen better in the past, but they’ve moved the ball effectively with Alan Bowman at quarterback.

Running back SaRodorick Thompson is the star of the offense, though. Thompson has been banged up throughout the season, but when he’s been healthy, like last week against Oklahoma State, he has run for a mile. Thompson gashed the Cowboys for 133 yards and 7.8 yards per carry and 2 touchdowns. He’s averaging 5.8 yards a pop for the Red Raiders on the ground. The Jayhawks have allowed 229.1 yards per game against the run. Expect a monster day for Thompson. Texas Tech could come close to covering the OVER alone. However, Kansas should be able to chip in for around 20 points as well. The OVER is where I’m looking in this matchup.

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The Bet
OVER 62
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.