The 2014 bowl season continues with the day after New Year’s Day action featuring an evening match-up (6:45 pm ET) that features two power conference teams that have been recent fixtures on the national scene. The 11th ranked Kansas St. Wildcats (9-3) of the Big-12 Conference and the 14th ranked UCLA Bruins (9-3) of the PAC-12 Conference in the Valero Alamo Bowl from the Alamodome in San Antonio, TX. The Wildcats lost to Baylor 38-27 in their regular season finale, and the Wildcats faded a bit down the stretch after starting their season off 7-1. The Bruins lost their regular season finale to Stanford at home 31-10 to end a five-game winning streak that saw them defeat Arizona (17-7) and cross-town rival USC (38-20) among other PAC-12 teams.
Kansas St. is ranked 23rd nationally in scoring offense with an average of 35.8 points per game and 48th among FBS teams in total offense with 426 yards per contest. The Wildcats rank 25th nationally in points allowed with 21.8 per game and 35th in total defense 361.2 YPG allowed.
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UCLA is ranked 37th nationally in scoring offense with an average of 32.9 PPG scored and 21st among FBS teams in total offense with 467.9 YPG. The Bruins rank 72nd nationally in points allowed with 27.5 per game and 68th in total defense 401 YPG allowed.
Kansas St. vs. UCLA Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Kansas St. Wildcats +1.5
@ UCLA Bruins -1.5
Over 59 (-110)
Under 59 (-110)
Betting odds taken from Bovada.lv
Kansas St. vs UCLA Pick
The Wildcats are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games against a team with a winning record, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss and 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games overall. The Bruins are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a double-digit loss at home, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Big 12 teams 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss. The Over is 37-15 in the Wildcats’ last 52 games following a straight up loss and 9-4 in their last 13 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. The Over is 10-4 in the Bruins’ last 14 games against Big 12 teams, 4-1 in their last 5 Friday games and 5-2 in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
The Bruins are led by quarterback Brett Hundley who has a 70.4% completion percentage with 3,019 passing yards and 21 TDs against 5 INTs. On the ground Hundley has run for 548 yards and 8 TDs and running back Paul Perkins has run for 1,378 yards and 7 TDs this season.
The Wildcats are offense is centered around senior wideout Tyler Lockett, who ranks 4th in the nation in receiving yards with 1,351 and 8th in receptions with 93. QB Jake Waters threw for 3,163 yards with 20 TDs and 6 INTs this season.
These two teams both have a bad taste in their mouth after disappointing endings to the regular season and would like to end their season on a better note and take advantage of a winnable game here. The Wildcats have extra incentive to win because it is always a possibility that 75-year old coach Bill Snyder could hang it up. The Wildcats are a very disciplined team, and have been more consistent than the Bruins and that makes them the better choice here. Take Kansas St. and the points.