Kansas State squares off with Baylor on Saturday in a game featuring two teams attempting to become bowl-eligible. The visiting Wildcats (5-1) head to Waco to take on a Baylor (5-2) team that features one of the top offenses in the country. The Bears, with quarterback Robert Griffin III (1430 pass yards, 10 TDs), average 486.1 yards per game (#8 nationally) and they’ll be going up against a Wildcat defense that surrenders 385.8 yards per game (#80 nationally. The Wildcat defense is especially porous against the run where they give up a staggering 222.7 yards per game which ranks 115th in the nation. If anything is certain it is that both offense—which rank in the top 40 nationally— will be able to move the ball and put up some points.
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It was all set up so nicely or the Kansas State Wildcats. Two weeks ago, they were 4-0 and had #5 Nebraska coming to town for a Thursday night ESPN primetime kickoff. The alums were excited, the students were inebriated and the buzz around the program was incredibly high. Then, the game started. Then, the fun ended. Nebraska just crushed them by a score of 48-13 with all six Nebraska touchdowns coming from 10+ yard plays. It was ugly. But, the character of a team is measured after a loss and the Wildcats came out flying last week when they utterly manhandled rivals Kansas, in Lawrence, 59-7. How good was it for the Kansas State fans? They were beating the team they hate the most, at their place, 52-0 in the 3rd quarter. With that kind of recovery after their shellacking at the hands of Nebraska, do expect the Wildcats to come in with some good momentum on both offense and defense.
The Baylor Bears are a team that has slowly gotten better in the past few years and this year is, certainly, no exception. They’ve scored 154 points in their last four games and if you look at the Kansas State defense (sans last week), then you can certainly see Baylor putting up some points while at home. There remain obvious concerns for their defense but it’s a unit that will have some confidence coming off of a road victory at Colorado last week.
Kansas State vs. Baylor Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Kansas State +6.5
@ Baylor -6.5
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Kansas State vs. Baylor State Betting Predictions for Week 8:
Game Total Prediction (Top Play) – Kansas State doesn’t have a great defense and neither does Baylor. It’s quite simple. Both teams have gotten to five wins apiece, respectively, with the way their offenses have scored. Sure, the ugly losses to good teams have been ugly when the offense hasn’t gotten it going but both teams should feel confident coming in. While it might be wrong to expect Kansas State to score 50+ on the road again this week they should put up points. And, Baylor should too against a porous Kansas State defense. The Over is 10-1 in the Wildcats’ last 11 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0. Baylor has seen the Over in 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Spread Prediction – In a game with two bad defenses, scoring should be early and often. The real question is, which team will score more? It’s ironic to think a great defensive play by someone could be the reason for the win. That said, Baylor has a better quarterback in Griffin and he should have fewer, if any, mistakes. Kansas State isn’t a bad team but they are going up against a Baylor team trying to become bowl eligible in front of their own fans. That alone should spur the Bears into a home victory between 7 and 14 points.
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