Kansas vs. Texas NCAAF Pick – Week 8

The Texas Longhorns return home to Austin following a loss in the Red River Rivalry against the Oklahoma Sooners. They battled hard, but it ultimately wasn’t enough in a 34-27 loss. Jalen Hurts was the better quarterback than Sam Ehlinger and that was essentially the difference in the ball game. Hurts passed for 3 touchdowns and another on the ground for a total of 4 scores. He also threw for 235 yards and rushed for 131 yards. Conversely, Ehlinger passed for 210 yards and no scores. He also rushed in negative territory for -9 yards on 23 attempts.

A rematch in the Big 12 Championship is a possibility, as Texas are still in the mix for an appearance in that game. Baylor of all teams is rolling, so the Longhorns are going to need the Bears to start slipping up. Baylor are 6-0 and 3-0 in the Big 12, while Texas enter this weekend with a record of 4-2 and 2-1 in the conference. They have some work to do if they want to go to the Big 12 Championship, but it isn’t out of reach. Texas fought hard in a 7-point loss against No. 2 LSU and then did the same against Oklahoma a week ago.

Texas were in both games, so they weren’t that far off from having two wins against top-4 programs. Their schedule shapes up nicely the rest of the way, with Baylor the only ranked team left to play. That’s likely going to be a big time matchup against Baylor, which could carry championship implications in the Big 12. The Longhorns must focus on the Kansas Jayhawks this Saturday before anything else, though.

Texas didn’t do a good job of taking Kansas seriously last season on the road. The Jayhawks were alive and well in that one, as they nearly knocked Texas off in a 24-17 loss. However, this week Kansas are on the road and Texas have a better team than a season ago. Kansas could catch the Longhorns on a hangover on Saturday night, which would provide the opening they need for an upset in this one. Head below for our free Kansas vs. Texas pick.

Kansas Jayhawks vs. Texas Longhorns NCAAF Week 8 Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Kansas +21(-110)
  • Texas -21(-110)

Total:

  • Over 62.5(-110)
  • Under 62.5(-110)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Kansas vs. Texas Pick:

Kansas are coming off a 45-20 loss against the Oklahoma Sooners two weeks ago. They had a bye this past weekend, so there was some extra time for the Jayhawks to go over the Oklahoma tape and prepare for Texas. Kansas are fielding a better team under Les Miles, though that isn’t translating into a lot of wins yet. They have wins over Indiana State and Boston College. The BC win was a game that they can feel good about, but beating Indiana State by a score of 24-17 isn’t a good look. Kansas have a loss against Coastal Carolina on their resume, so they’ve been all over the place.

This is a team who struggled to win just one game without Les Miles. When I say they’re better, it isn’t saying much because the Jayhawks really couldn’t have gotten much worse. Kansas have a quarterback that has looked competent, so that’s a good start for developing into a competitive team in the coming years. Senior Carter Stanley has been solid with 12 touchdowns and 4 interceptions for 65% completions. Nevertheless, Kansas are still in the bottom half of the FBS with only 354.4 yards per game.

Kansas have passed for 195.8 passing yards while rushing for 158.7 yards on the ground per game. The Jayhawks are going to need more than that against the Longhorns in Austin. Sam Ehlinger is likely going to be able to carve up a less than adequate Kansas defense. Kansas have allowed a lot of yards, 444.5 yards worth per game. They’ve gotten throttled on the ground with 220.8 yards allowed per contest.

If the Longhorns get ahead and want to keep the ball on the ground, they’re likely still going to be able to find yards and move the chains. That’s one of the worries with the larger spreads. Teams get ahead and then chew up clock by running the ball. In this case, Texas are probably going to move the ball regardless. I do see Ehlinger chewing Kansas up after a lackluster showing against Oklahoma, though.

Ehlinger has thrown 17 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on the season. He will pad his stats in this one and get back on track. A letdown for Texas might be a concern, but they looked perfectly fine after that LSU game. Following that loss, the Longhorns blew out Rice by a score of 48-13 on the road. It’s improbable that Texas take Kansas lightly after the close call last season, too. Look for Texas to flex with a big win and cover on Saturday at home.

The Bet
TEXAS -21
Kyle E
Kyle E / author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.