Kansas vs. Texas Tech Pick – NCAAF Week 5

Texas Tech is a team of two identities. On one side is their offense, a powerful unit that can put upwards of 60 points on the board with ease. And then there is other less desirable side, a defense that can just as easily allow 60 points. When you score 55 points, there is the expectation of a win that goes along with it. Not for Texas Tech, who inexcusably lost 69-55 to Arizona State. I watched the entire game, it was an embarrassment for both defenses, but notably the Red Raiders who would have been better served playing with no bodies on the field.

I would say play with no defense, but they were essentially playing with no defense, even with some warm bodies on the field. Louisiana Tech were able to put up 45 on Texas Tech last week, but if you’re going to want to beat them, teams will have to do what Arizona State did.

Enter the Kansas Jayhawks, who have had one of the worst offenses in college football since Mark Mangino was the head coach. Kansas were winning an Orange Bowl then, and now, would just like to find a bowl game, any bowl game. The Jayhawks went 12-1 in 2007, the year they won the Orange Bowl. It’s been a steady downhill fall for Kansas since then. Recruiting has been a mess, with the program having to settle for a plethora of 2-star recruits.

The product on the field shows it, as they struggle to put up much of a fight against others in the Big-12 Conference. They would probably be better served moving to the Mountain West for football or something, but for a school as big as Kansas is, it’d just provide more embarrassment for this proud basketball school.

The Red Raiders own the most prolific passing attack in the country. Patrick Mahomes lit the field up a year ago, and it’s carried over in a big way this season. I feel bad for the kid, who would be talked about in the media and in the Heisman discussion if he had a defense. He has an unorthodox style of play, which will make you think of Johnny Manziel at Texas A&M. He can throw out of the pocket, falling backwards, off one foot, sidearm, scramble, you name it he’s been doing it to defenses.

The Red Raiders are 2-1 coming into Thursday night, with wins coming against Stephen F. Austin and Louisiana Tech. Both of their wins aren’t the most attractive, and tonight, if they win won’t be either. Texas Tech loves to beat up on the bad teams. We’ll see if they do it tonight against the hapless Jayhawks.

Kansas Jayhawks vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders NCAAF Betting Odds:

Kansas +28.5(-110)
vs. Texas Tech -28.5(-110)

Over 80(-110)
Under 80(-110)

Odds provided by Bovada.lv

Kansas vs. Texas Tech Pick:

Pat Mahomes has thrown for 1493 yards, 14 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. He has also rushed for 139 yards and 4 touchdowns on the ground. Outside of Lamar Jackson, Mahomes has been the most exciting quarterback to watch in college football. Maybe not the best option for the NFL, but he is definitely fun to watch playing college ball. The Texas Tech passing offense is tops in college football.

The Red Raiders will be up against a fairly useless Kansas defense tonight, who allowed 37 points and 43 to Ohio and Memphis. The defensive numbers are going to look a bit skewed because they opened the year up against Rhode Island, a FCS opponent that Kansas beat 55-6. The fans stormed the field, because it was the first win that the Jayhawks had since November of 2014!

Kansas looked like themselves last week in a 43-7 drubbing by Memphis. The Jayhawks recycled through three different quarterbacks, ultimately throwing for 193 yards combined with 2 interceptions. That’s the offense we all know and love that couldn’t move the ball on a bunch of traffic cones on the field.

Kansas is going to need to score in the high 20s to 30 to cover this game. The Texas Tech offense should have no problems picking the Kansas defense to shreds. If the Red Raiders come to play, they’re going to hit the 60s on offense. More likely, I see them scoring about 55 points in this one. As bad as the Texas Tech defense is, they should look like a somewhat competent unit against Kansas. If Kansas marches up and down the field all night, it may be the biggest joke of their season thus far. The Red Raiders should get enough stops, but Kansas aren’t going to see many at all. Texas Tech will blow this game open and cover the number.

PICK: TEXAS TECH -28 (-110)

Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.