Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Bowling Green Falcons Pick – NCAAF Week 11

In one of the most highly anticipated games of the week, the Kent State Golden Flashes will take on the Bowling Green Falcons at Bowling Green State University. No, it’s not anticipated at all, and probably ranks 1/10 on most people’s watchlist for Week 11 action in the FBS. In any event, it’s a game to wager on and that’s all that concerns me.

With the MAC fortunately back now, we have more of a sample size of games to handicap on the college football slate. Everyone is back now, with the most recent conference to return, the Pac 12 out west. It’s still a bumpy season with multiple teams having to postpone and cancel games, star players like Trevor Lawrence having to sit out, and other instances of an altered landscape.

Kent State and Bowling Green are attempting to pull off an upset in the MAC in 2020. Neither team is expected to be anywhere close to the MAC Championship, but the Miami RedHawks weren’t supposed to win last year. I can say with great confidence that Bowling Green isn’t going to be playing in any kind of championship game. Head coach Scot Loeffler has a lot of work ahead of him with this team.

Loeffler, who is a graduate of the University of Michigan and coached there as a GA and quarterback coach, probably hopes to be the next guy in line behind Jim Harbaugh. However, Loeffler has to prove that he can turn a program around and have success before any big money schools are going to look his way. Harbaugh might be long gone before Loeffler has an opportunity for a job at a bigger school.

This year is going to be a learning experience for Bowling Green. They’re coming off a loss in a blowout by a score of 38-3 in Week 1 of MAC completion. Toledo is a good team, but Bowling Green showed absolutely nothing in that outing. I’m afraid it could be a sign of what’s to come for the Falcons in 2020.

A lot of growing pains for them. As far as Kent State is concerned, I will say that they’ve come a long way since three years ago. They couldn’t stay within three touchdowns of any team then. Last season, Kent State was bowling for the first time since 2012, and first bowl win in school history, as they stopped Utah State by a score of 51-41 in the Frisco Bowl. Head below for our free Kent State vs. Bowling Green pick for November 10, 2020.

Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Bowling Green Falcons NCAAF Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Kent St. -20.5 (-110)
  • Bowling Green +20.5 (-110)
Moneyline:

  • Kent St. -1200
  • Bowling Green +750
Total:

  • Over 55 (-110)
  • Under 55 (-110)

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Kent State vs. Bowling Green Prediction:

It’s imperative for Loeffler to find playmakers to bring to Bowling Green. He might be able to do it after getting on the recruiting trail, but the cupboard was left empty for him to work with in 2020. Matt McDonald won the quarterback battle for Bowling Green. I’m not so sure that he’s going to be the starting quarterback for the Falcons if he continues along his path from last year. McDonald was incompetent, as he threw for 128 yards on 8 for 30 passing and 2 interceptions.

If McDonald continues to play like that, he’s going to be watching from the bench. He ran for 41 yards on 3 carries. His legs were about his most effective tool in the toolbox against Toledo. This is his first season as the full-time starter after completing 7 passes on 8 attempts last year.

The Falcons managed to put up just 267 yards versus Toledo. Without any offensive weapons to help McDonald out, expect their problems to grow in 2020. Kent State used to be a sieve defensively, but they are expected to take a leap after getting talent back from last year. Their effort in 2019 wasn’t anything to talk about, they conceded 470 yards per game, but it was a step forward compared to previous recent years.

Kent State looked good defensively against Eastern Michigan. They held the Eagles to 302 yards in a 27-23 win. The Golden Flashes were able to force Preston Hutchinson into 2 interceptions. Hutchinson went 21 for 35 for 241 yards. McDonald, who looked lost last week, is likely going to run into problems against the Golden Flashes in this one. Kent State has an average defense, but McDonald should make them look better than they really are.

If Bowling Green is going to stay around in this game, they are going to have to play defense and limit Dustin Crum. Crum is coming off a serviceable performance against Eastern Michigan last week, but was terrific for the Golden Flashes last year.

He threw 20 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 69.2% completions. Nothing flashy, but he can consistently move the ball and doesn’t make many mistakes. Kent State likely won’t need to light up the scoreboard in this one. Look for them to take the lead and methodically chew up the clock. The spread in this game looks sharp, it could fall either way. That said, the UNDER should hold up on Tuesday night between Kent State and Bowling Green.

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The Bet
UNDER 55
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.