Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns vs. Marshall Thundering Herd Pick – New Orleans Bowl December 18, 2021

The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns and Marshall Thundering Herd are scheduled to clash in the New Orleans Bowl on Saturday night at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. UL Lafayette is looking to put a bow on a tremendous season in the Sun Belt.

They are going into the New Orleans Bowl with a record of 12-1 and a Sun Belt Championship following a 24-16 win over the Appalachian State Mountaineers. I cashed Louisiana to win the Sun Belt, so that one came as no surprise.

That was another impressive display put on by the Cajuns’ defense. They’ve been a lockdown unit this season, and look to continue it against Marshall in the New Orleans Bowl. However, Louisiana must do it without their head coach.

Billy Napier is off to Gainesville for a head coaching position with the Florida Gators. That leaves an opening for the Ragin’ Cajuns that will be filled by 36-year-old Michael Desormeaux. He played quarterback at UL Lafayette and signed as an undrafted free agent with the Jaguars in 2009.

Napier turned the Ragin’ Cajuns into a defensive force in the Sun Belt, and now will look to bring the Gators back to prominence. There’s been a lot of turnover for Louisiana since they won the conference championship.

Along with the coaching staff, Louisiana has a long injury report. The most notable player OUT for the Ragin’ Cajuns is leading-target Peter LeBlanc. He will be joined by leading-rusher Chris Smith, who is bothered by a knee injury.

There are multiple offensive linemen on the injury report, with starter Max Mitchell officially OUT according to coach Desormeaux. On the defensive side of the ball, the Ragin’ Cajuns are without star nose tackle Tayland Humphrey.

Humphrey is opting out to prepare for the East-West Shrine Bowl, while starting linebacker, Ferrod Gardner, will not be playing in the New Orleans Bowl. The situation for Marshall is a lot more stable, but they didn’t have a 12-1 campaign like UL Lafayette.

Marshall finished the regular season at 7-5 after a 53-21 loss to close out the season versus Western Kentucky on November 27. The Thundering Herd won four in a row before losing two of their last three.

Head below for our free Louisiana vs. Marshall New Orleans Bowl pick on December 18, 2021.

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns vs. Marshall Thundering Herd Betting Odds and Team Statistics:

The following odds are courtesy of BetUS:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns -4.5 (-110) -180 Over 55.5 (-110)
Marshall Thundering Herd +4.5 (-110) +160 Under 55.5 (-110)
Team Data Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Marshall Thundering Herd
Overall Record 12-1 7-5
ATS Record 6-7-0 6-6-0
Away/Home Record NEUTRAL NEUTRAL
ATS Away/Home NEUTRAL NEUTRAL
Points Per Game 30.7 34.0
Points Against Per Game 18.3 22.8
Passing Yards Per Game 214.0 310.9
Rushing Yards Per Game 192.0 160.2

Louisiana vs. Marshall Prediction:

Louisiana will look for quarterback Levi Lewis to play a strong game in the absence of several key players on offense. Lewis is a smart quarterback that doesn’t turn the ball over often.

His ability to lead the offense and not make mistakes is important for Louisiana’s success. Lewis has passed for 19 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 60.3% completions.

He also gained 269 yards on the ground with 5 touchdowns on 3.1 yards per carry. Doing a little bit of everything is Lewis’ mantra at Louisiana. However, just don’t expect anything exceptionally well or monster numbers.

It’s what the Ragin’ Cajuns need with their talented defense, though they are down talent in this one. Lewis is without one of his favorite wide receivers and running back in New Orleans.

Chris Smith and his 5.6 yards per carry will not be available in this one. Smith gained 855 yards and 8 touchdowns on 153 attempts. There will also be backups in at offensive line for Louisiana.

Over at Marshall, they are not dealing with any important injuries to speak of. They have a clean bill of health going into the New Orleans Bowl. That’s good news for their dangerous passing game.


Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns vs. Marshall Thundering Herd Betting Trends:

Louisiana

  • 4-0 ATS in their previous four games versus a winning record
  • 0-4 ATS in their previous four bowl games
  • 1-4 ATS in their previous five games at a neutral site
  • 1-4 ATS in their previous five games versus the Conference USA
  • 2-5 ATS in their previous seven games as a favorite

Marshall

  • 7-2 ATS in their previous nine bowl games
  • 6-2 ATS in their previous eight games at a neutral site
  • 5-1 ATS in their previous six games after allowing more than 40 points
  • 4-2 ATS in their previous six games
  • UNDER is 4-1 in their previous five games

The Thundering Herd enter the New Orleans Bowl with 471.1 yards per game for 10th in the FBS. They are capable of scoring plenty of points and have Grant Wells healthy at quarterback for their bowl game.

Marshall is 26th in the FBS with 34 points per game. They have an offensive advantage over Louisiana, and with the injury concerns continuing to pile up for the Ragin’ Cajuns, they are going to be much healthier.

I’m not running to the window to lay points on a UL Lafayette team that is dealing with a coaching change, players sitting out, and multiple injuries on both sides of the ball.

After winning the Sun Belt, I’m sure the Ragin’ Cajuns aren’t going to be as motivated for this one. On paper and both teams healthy with Billy Napier on the sideline during the regular season, give me Louisiana easy at 4 points.

However, that’s not the case in the New Orleans Bowl at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Their usual defensive intensity is likely not going to be turned up for this one.

The Thundering Herd typically like bowl games, as they’ve covered seven of their last nine. I’m going to take the points on the underdog in a game that Marshall is probably going to be interested in.

MORE FREE SPORTS BETTING PICKS!

Louisiana vs. Marshall Pick
MARSHALL +4.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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