LSU Tigers vs. Florida Gators Pick – NCAAF Week 15

The LSU Tigers and Florida Gators meet on Saturday night with different goals in mind at the Swamp. Florida has clinched a spot in the SEC Championship and will face the Alabama Crimson Tide next week for the conference title. LSU, on the other hand, recently imposed a bowl ban on themselves for the 2020 season. As a result of NCAA violations, LSU volunteered to sit this season out. The best LSU can hope for is a 5-5 season, and they would need to pull off two upsets to do it against Florida and Ole Miss. So, yeah, some kind of punishment.

The Tigers have two more games left on their regular season schedule. After winning the National Championship last year, they lost a lot of talent to the NFL. That included a star quarterback, running back, and wide receiver. Fans are still happy with the championship from last season and will be happy for a while, so they’re going to have a bit of a grace period. If we’re getting into three years from now and LSU is struggling, then there will certainly be some grumblings in Baton Rouge.

LSU is coming off a 55-17 humiliation against Alabama last week. Alabama did whatever they wanted and could have named the score. Mac Jones piled it on through the air for 385 yards and 4 touchdowns. Running back Najee Harris chipped in for 145 yards and 3 touchdowns as well to get the Crimson Tide to 55 points on the board. The Tigers’ defense has struggled to contain most teams this season. It’s not just Alabama that has made it look easy against LSU. The offense was keeping up early in the season, but the injury to quarterback Myles Brennan cooled them off pretty quick.

Without Brennan at quarterback, I don’t think there’s a bowl committee who cares to put the Tigers in their game. They would have been living on their reputation from last season. Meanwhile, No. 6 Florida has to be playing for style points on Saturday night. They are locked into the SEC Championship, but are on the bubble for the College Football Playoff. The 8-1 Gators would be going to the playoff with a win over LSU and upset over Alabama. LSU should be an easy win, but the SEC Championship? Not so much. Head below for our free LSU vs. Florida pick for December 12, 2020.

LSU Tigers vs. Florida Gators NCAAF Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • LSU +23 (-107)
  • Florida -23 (-113)
Moneyline:

  • LSU +870
  • Florida -1500
Total:

  • Over 68.5 (-110)
  • Under 68.5 (-110)

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LSU vs. Florida Prediction:

LSU has to fire away in this game and hope for the best on Saturday night at the Swamp. It doesn’t sound like a sure fire game plan, but LSU likely isn’t going to have any other choice. They are going to have to take some chances in this one. Florida quarterback Kyle Trask is ready to put together another big performance. He gets a spotty defense to do it against before the SEC Championship. Trask has passed for 38 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 71.4% completions.

The senior is going to be off the board fast in the upcoming NFL Draft. Trask has led the Gators to 502.9 yards and 42 points per game. Florida hasn’t scored fewer than 30 points in any game this season. Trask is coming off a big performance against Tennessee. He threw for 433 yards and 4 touchdowns, as Trask continued his breakout campaign.

He should be in for a big night against a struggling LSU defense. LSU has been throttled for 469.1 yards per game. They’ve conceded 33.4 points per game as well. Only Vanderbilt and Ole Miss have allowed more yards than the Tigers have this season. This team wasn’t known for their defense last season, it was all Joe Burrow and the offense, but they were better than what they’ve been displaying in 2020.

Most of their problems have come against the pass. LSU have conceded 313.3 yards per game through the air in 2020, which is dead last in the SEC. Like I said, an upset for LSU is going to have to come because of chances taken by the Tigers. Florida’s defense isn’t impenetrable, though they’ve been going in the right direction recently.

Freshman TJ Finley has shown promise in spots and likely won’t be scared to gamble. Finley passed for 144 yards with a touchdown against Alabama last week. He was splitting time with Max Johnson in that game, so could have had bigger numbers with a full four quarters. With nothing to lose, the Tigers have to allow Finley to air it out and see what he can do. I will go with the OVER in Gainesville on Saturday night.

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The Bet
OVER 68.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.