LSU Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels Pick – NCAAF Week 8

The LSU Tigers and Mississippi Rebels are scheduled for a Saturday evening showdown at Vaught Hemingway Stadium in Oxford. Ole Miss are coming off a wild win over the Tennessee Volunteers last weekend. They had to dodge projectiles from the stands late in the 4th quarter, as the pro Tennessee crowd wasn’t too happy with the officials.

Lane Kiffin ended up being hit by a golf ball, but a bottle of mustard might have been the weirdest object thrown on the field. Fortunately, the golf ball only brushed his shoulder and didn’t hit him in the head. In a last act of showmanship, Kiffin caught a water bottle with one hand as he was leaving the field.

Oh yeah, there was a football game, too, and Ole Miss came up big with a 31-26 win. The defense came to play in a matchup that was expected to see more points. It was a good performance for an Ole Miss defense that likes to turn on and off. They are on the inconsistent side, which is an improvement from consistently terrible.

The main show for the Rebels is quarterback Matt Corral. Corral is projected to be off the board quickly in the upcoming draft. He is likely going to be the first or second quarterback gone. There isn’t a sure fire No. 1 quarterback in the draft in 2022, but Corral has shown that he could be the top selection.

Kiffin doesn’t have Ole Miss on the level of Alabama or Georgia, but they’re comfortably in a tier behind those two programs. Ole Miss had a chance to prove they do belong against Alabama and that didn’t work out. The Crimson Tide cleared the Rebels easily for an easy 42-21 win. Ole Miss didn’t put drives together until the game was out of reach in the second-half.

LSU are coming off a wild one of their own against the Florida Gators. They outlasted the Gators in a shootout for a 49-42 win. Max Johnson passed for 133 yards and 3 touchdowns for a steady performance, while running back Tyrion Davis-Price went off on the ground for 287 yards and 3 touchdowns. The Tigers advanced to 4-3 on the season with the win. Head below for our free LSU vs. Ole Miss pick on October 23, 2021.

LSU Tigers vs. Mississippi Rebels Live Odds and Betting History:

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
LSU Tigers +9 (-107) +280 Over 76 (-115)
Ole Miss Rebels -9 (-113) -350 Under 76 (-105)
Team Data LSU Tigers Ole Miss Rebels
Overall Record 4-3 5-1
ATS Record 3-4-0 3-2-1
Away/Home Record 1-2 3-0
ATS Away/Home 1-2-0 1-1-1
Points Per Game 32.4 43.7
Points Against Per Game 28.4 30.2
Passing Yards Per Game 272.7 290.2
Rushing Yards Per Game 117.4 262.8

LSU vs. Ole Miss Prediction:

LSU are going to need a better effort defensively than last week or Matt Corral and the Rebels will run away from the Tigers.

Florida notched 42 points behind 3 touchdown passes from Anthony Richardson. The Tigers were able to get a couple of crucial turnovers to prevent a Florida win.

Richardson threw 2 interceptions, while Emory Jones did the same. LSU can’t depend on Corral making the same mistakes, though. Corral doesn’t make many many mistakes at all.

He’s passed for 14 touchdowns and 1 interception on 66.3% passing. It’s tough to keep an eye on him and the pocket, and then track him down as a runner.

Corral has rushed for 450 yards and 8 touchdowns on 5.1 yards per carry. He’s really what Johnny Manziel should have been, at least as a pro prospect. They play similarly, but Corral has the arm strength to drive the ball better than Manziel could.

With Corral at the controls, the Rebels have averaged 553 yards per game for second in the national, and fifth with 43.7 points per game.

LSU Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels Betting Trends:


  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games after a win
  • 6-2 ATS in their previous eight games as a underdog on the road
  • 11-5 ATS in their previous 16 games on the road
  • OVER is 5-0 in their previous five games as an underdog
  • OVER is 7-3 in their previous ten games

Ole Miss

  • 7-2-1 ATS in their previous ten games versus a team with a winning record
  • 5-2-1 ATS in their previous eight games as a favorite at Ole Miss
  • OVER is 17-6 in their previous 23 games as a favorite at Ole Miss
  • OVER is 9-3 in their previous 12 games after a win
  • OVER is 7-3 in their previous ten games at Ole Miss

LSU will likely have to gear up for a high-scoring contest in this one. Their offense has to be prepared to score more than 45 points again this Saturday. Ole Miss has struggled against the run with 198.3 yards allowed per game.

That’s good for 109th in the country. I think LSU should be able to find running room with Davis-Price to rip off big yardage. He has 574 yards and 5 touchdowns on 5.6 yards per carry this season.

Johnson has been efficient through the air as well with 20 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 61.3% completions. The sophomore likely has a big year ahead of him next season. I think he’s just getting warmed up, and should do damage in this one.

This should be a high-scoring matchup between these two schools. The OVER is probably the best place to look in Oxford on Saturday night.


LSU vs. Ole Miss Pick