Miami vs. LSU NCAAF Pick – Week 1

The Miami Hurricanes and LSU Tigers meet at the AT&T Stadium in Arlington for an early Sunday night out of conference clash. The NFL doesn’t start until next week, so college football has a game on Sunday and Monday. Miami were back in 2017, as they brought a ferocious defense to lead them to the ACC Championship. That’s where the fun ended for the Hurricanes. They lost to Clemson, 38-3, in the ACC Championship and then a 34-24 loss to Wisconsin in the Orange Bowl.

After they lost to Clemson, I think the confidence and motivation to play again was sucked right out of them. Bowl games are all about motivation, and the Hurricanes didn’t have anything left in the tank in the Orange Bowl. The Canes lost their last three games to finish 10-3 and 7-1 in the ACC.

Despite the disappointing end to the year for Miami, it was a good season for Miami. 2017 was one of the first years Miami fans were excited about their football program since the mid 2000’s. The Orange Bowl was the biggest bowl they’ve been to since the Peach Bowl in 2005.

Their opponent in that game was against the team they’re playing Sunday night, the LSU Tigers. LSU pounded Miami, blowing them out by a score of 40-3. That was an LSU team that featured Matt Flynn and Joseph Addai. On Miami’s side, you might have recognized Devin Hester. Those guys are long gone from football, but there is talent to be had in this matchup.

Malik Rosier is back at quarterback for the Hurricanes, as he hopes to bounce back after struggling down the stretch for Miami. I think it was more of a by-product of the talented defenses he had to play. LSU does present another challenge for the Miami offense. The Hurricanes’ defense hopes to bring out the Turnover Chain against a new look LSU offense. Head below for our free Miami vs. LSU pick from the AT&T Stadium in Texas.

Miami Hurricanes vs. LSU Tigers Betting Odds:

Miami -3.5(-110)
vs. LSU +3.5(-110)

Over 47(-110)
Under 47(-110)

Betting odds provided by

Miami vs. LSU Pick:

If LSU is going to have a chance in this game, it’s going to be with their defensive line harassing Rosier into mistakes all night. The Hurricanes are going into this contest with an inexperienced offensive line against a very good LSU defensive line. The Hurricanes averaged just 3.9 yards per carry last season. The Tigers allowed the same defensively, 3.9 yards per carry.

Miami have a couple of seniors and the rest are a little bit of a question mark for the Canes. LSU didn’t resign defensive coordinator Dave Aranda because they thought he was a bad coach. There were other schools interested in giving Aranda a big paycheck, but they were able to convince him to stay. He leads a talented team that ranked 13th in yards allowed per game a season ago. LSU allowed 18.8 points per game.

The Tigers are going to be difficult to contain up-front for the Hurricanes. The offensive line had problems at the point of attack on the line, and they’re going to be up against one of the better lines in the country. Rosier regressed significantly late, and like I said, it’s because of the defenses he played. Their offensive line had issues blocking against athletic defenses and Rosier suffered as a result. LSU should be able to control the game in that sense, but for how long can they hold up?

They’re going to have to hold up all game long, because LSU is experimenting with a new offensive unit. When I say new, it’s pretty well brand-new for the Tigers. They have a new offensive coordinator, new quarterback, and the weapons surrounding QB Joe Burrow aren’t as potent. Derrius Guice is rehabbing in the NFL at the moment, so they don’t have a proven workhorse to carry the load. Burrow, an Ohio State transfer, is taking over for Danny Etling who was just cut by the Patriots.

Miami allowed just 19.9 points per game in 2017. The Turnover Chain wasn’t just a gimmick, they had a defense that could get after it and force the offense into errors. Burrow must be careful protecting the ball. Both offenses are likely going to have issues generating consistent drives downfield. The defenses should be able to dictate the tempo in this matchup. With that said, expect a low-scoring slug fest between two athletic defensive units in Texas.

The Bet: UNDER 47.5 (-110)

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.