Michigan Wolverines vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers Pick – NCAAF Week 6

The Michigan Wolverines and Nebraska Cornhuskers have a Saturday night date at Memorial Stadium in Lincoln. This is a big game for both programs. If Scott Frost doesn’t start winning games soon for Nebraska his hot seat is going to be on fire. For Jim Harbaugh and Michigan, they are looking to prove that their 5-0 start this season isn’t a fluke.

All it would take is a loss against Nebraska on Saturday night is for the Wolverines to be characterized as a fraud. Their No. 9 ranking would undoubtedly take a big dive. So while this isn’t Ohio State or Michigan State, the stakes are high for Harbaugh and company. They can’t afford to go 5-0 and then suffer a loss versus a beatable Nebraska team.

Frost is thinking that this is a big spot to get back into favor with Nebraska fans. If the Cornhuskers defeat Michigan, then he’s going to get a big boost in his waning popularity. Will he survive this season if Nebraska doesn’t put some good wins together? His status as head coach will certainly be covered in doubt.

Michigan is coming off a 38-17 win over the Wisconsin Badgers on the road. That was one of the best performances from a Harbaugh squad over a quality opponent on the road since he was hired. It won’t matter much if the Wolverines can’t follow up with another win, though. The confidence coming out of the Michigan locker room could evaporate fast.

The Cornhuskers pummeled Northwestern for a 56-7 win last week. This was a nice response after suffering a 23-20 loss in overtime against the Michigan State Spartans the week prior. They were on a two-game losing streak, which also included a 23-16 loss against Oklahoma in a rivalry game on September 18.

Nebraska is going into tonight with a .500 record of 3-3. They were competitive in losses versus Michigan State and Oklahoma, but flat in a 30-22 loss versus a bad Illinois team to open the year on August 28. Their three wins have been against Fordham, Buffalo, and Northwestern. That’s not good enough for Frost. He needs signature wins on his resume. Head below for our free Michigan vs. Nebraska pick on October 9, 2021.

Michigan Wolverines vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers Live Odds and Betting History:

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Michigan -3.5 (-108) -165 Over 50.5 (-115)
Nebraska +3.5 (-112) +145 Under 50.5 (-105)
Team Data Michigan Nebraska
Overall Record 5-0 3-3
ATS Record 4-1-0 4-1-1
Away/Home Record 1-0 3-0
ATS Away/Home 1-0-0 3-0-0
Points Per Game 39.8 32.3
Points Against Per Game 18.2 12.6
Passing Yards Per Game 170.6 199.8
Rushing Yards Per Game 255 236.5

Michigan vs. Nebraska Prediction:

Michigan has had a couple of quarterbacks that they could really depend on over the last 15 years. The Chad Henne Wolverines were nationally recognized as one of the best teams in the country.

They went into Columbus that one year for a top-5 matchup against the Buckeyes. That same feeling of anticipation and expectations hasn’t been around the program since then.

The other quarterback that provided something was, no, not Tate Forcier, but Denard Robinson. Robinson was a lightning rod and made the Wolverines exciting to watch in the Rich Rod era.

However, Michigan had no defense then, and they had to score 50 points a game. Is Cade McNamara the next quarterback at Michigan that I will be talking about in ten years?

McNamara is excellent in the sense that he doesn’t make mistakes and lose games. He isn’t a gamebreaker and won’t be in the running of the Heisman, but doesn’t get himself into trouble.

The guy behind McNamara, freshman JJ McCarthy, probably has a better chance of being a memorable quarterback. McCarthy makes spot appearances, especially for QB runs, but is being slowly ushered on the field. His time in the spotlight is coming in the future, though.

For the Wolverines, it’s run the football and play solid defense. They’re good at both of those things. Michigan are seventh in the FBS with 255 yards per game on the ground.

The Michigan defense has conceded 284.6 yards per game for 11th in the nation, while they’re sixth with 12.8 points allowed per game. They’ve been tough to pass on, with only 170.6 yards allowed per game through the air, 18th in the FBS.

Against the run, Michigan has been strong with 114 yards allowed per game for 32nd in the FBS. They don’t have any holes, which should make it tough on quarterback Adrian Martinez.


Michigan Wolverines vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers Betting Trends:

Michigan

  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games
  • 8-2 ATS in their previous ten games in October
  • 1-6 ATS in their previous seven games versus the Big Ten
  • UNDER is 4-2 in their previous six games

Nebraska

  • 5-0 ATS in their previous five games
  • 5-2 ATS in their previous seven games at Nebraska
  • UNDER is 5-0 in their previous five games after covering the spread
  • UNDER is 7-0 in their previous seven games as an underdog
  • UNDER is 5-0 in their previous five games versus a team with a winning record
  • UNDER is 7-2-1 in their previous ten games

Adrian Martinez probably isn’t going to frustrate Harbaugh’s defense in this one, but the Cornhuskers do have an underrated defense that should show up under the lights in Lincoln. Nebraska is quick in the secondary and have allowed less than 200 passing yards per game.

Like Michigan, Nebraska doesn’t have any glaring holes on their defense. They’ve allowed 199.8 yards through the air per game and 122.3 yards per game on the ground. On the road at night, I suspect that they’re going to be able to make some plays in this one. Nebraska has held teams to 15.5 points per game, and should be flying around for this one.

I can’t see either offense putting together consistent drives in this one. It’s likely going to turn into a chess match that favors field position. Both teams like to run the ball, which will keep the clock ticking. I would like to be on the UNDER in a game like that. Expect a 27-20 or 24-21 final to stay UNDER the total.

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Michigan vs. Nebraska Pick
UNDER 50.5