One of the top matchups for this upcoming week 7 of the 2010 college football season will be this Saturday (12:05 pm ET) when the number 19 Missouri Tigers (5-0) travel to College Station, TX to take on the Texas A&M Aggies (3-2). Missouri is tied for first place in the Big 12 North with number 5 Nebraska after thumping Colorado 26-0 last week, while Texas A&M lost a tough game to then-number 11 Arkansas at home last week 24-17. The two teams have not met since 2007, when Missouri rolled over A&M 40-26.The Tigers are looking for their first 6-0 start since 2006, and have a tough road ahead with games against number 6 Oklahoma and number 5 Nebraska following this one.
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Missouri QB Blaine Gabbert is the key to the Tigers hopes in this game, and for the rest of the season for that matter. He expected to be under center this week after missing most of the fourth quarter last week with a hip injury. Gabbert averages 246 yards passing per game and has 7 TDs on the year for a Mizzou offense that averages 35.4 points per contest.
The Aggie offense is led by QB Jerrod Johnson, who has thrown for 7 TDs and 9 INTs in his last three games and was 15 for 40 for 212 yards last week against Arkansas. Johnson was intercepted in the end zone last week on the final play of the game with A&M still having a chance to tie the score. The Aggies have averaged 472.6 yards per game on offense, among the top 20 among all FBSA schools, but their Achilles heel has been turnovers; they rank second in the nation in that department with 18.
Mizzou comes into the game 3-8 ATS in their last 11 contests within the conference and 3-10 ATS against a team with a winning record. The under is 9-2 in the Tigers last 11 games against a team with a winning record, and the over is 10-4 in the Aggies last 14 games against a team with a winning record. The Aggie shave lost four in a row in College Station to top 25 opponents.
Missouri vs. Texas A&M Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Missouri Tigers +3.5
@ Texas A&M Aggies -3.5
Over 55.5 (-110)
Under 55.5 (-110)
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Missouri vs. Texas A&M Predictions for Week 7 Betting:
Spread Prediction (Top Play) – Missouri is a strong pick here as road underdog against a mistake-prone Texas A&M team. Take the Tigers and the points here, the Aggies will not be able to stay out of their own way and Mizzou QB Gabbert will almost certainly play. Missouri ranks third in the nation in scoring defense with 11.2 points per game allowed, and they have forced 14 turnovers, a total which should increase Saturday against Johnson and Co. A turnover -prone team against a turnover-forcing team= a mismatch for Missouri.
Over/Under Prediction – Take the under here as Missouri will likely be able to hold A&M’s offense in check for the most part and Gabbert may be taken out of the game for the Tigers at some point which will likely keep the score down. Missouri’s tough defense and the lack of true big-play weapons for both teams will make for a relatively low-scoring game down in College Station.