Missouri Tigers vs. Army Black Knights Pick – Armed Forces Bowl December 22, 2021

On Wednesday night, the Missouri Tigers and Army Black Knights meet in the Armed Forces Bowl at Amon G Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas. Amon G Carter is the home of the TCU Horned Frogs in Texas.

Was Army looking forward to going to their namesake bowl this season? You have to believe that the Black Knights were looking for more, including a win over the Navy Midshipmen.

Despite a respectable finish of 8-4 this season, Army lost the regular-season finale with a 17-13 loss versus Navy. That’s a tough one in an otherwise productive year for the Black Knights.

The Black Knights beat the Air Force Falcons on November 6 in overtime, 21-14. They didn’t go empty-handed and had some good wins, including over Georgia State, 45-10, Western Kentucky, 38-35, and Liberty, 31-16.

Perhaps their best attempt this season wasn’t a win at all. Army came close versus the Wisconsin Badgers in a 20-14 loss at Wisconsin on October 16. They were without their starting quarterback, but they came less than a touchdown away at the wire in a well-prepared game.

Missouri hasn’t played since November 16 in a 34-17 loss versus the Arkansas Razorbacks. For the first time all year, the Tigers put something together with a 31-28 win over South Carolina and 24-23 in OT over the Florida Gators.

That was the first time all year that Missouri won back-to-back games, with their only other wins versus Central Michigan, Southeast Missouri, North Texas, and Vanderbilt. In other words, the Tigers have an ugly portfolio besides the Florida win.

It was enough to go bowling, though, but they better have done their homework on the Army triple-option during their time off. Army is one of those teams that could make it a long game for their opponent if proper preparations weren’t done to stop their offense.

Head below for our free Missouri vs. Army Armed Forces Bowl picks on December 22, 2021.

Missouri Tigers vs. Army Black Knights Armed Forces Bowl Betting Odds and Team Statistics:

The following odds are courtesy of BetUS:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Missouri Tigers +4.5 (-110) +170 Over 56 (-110)
Army Black Knights -4.5 (-110) -180 Under 56 (-110)
Team Data Missouri Tigers Army Black Knights
Overall Record 6-6 8-4
ATS Record 3-9-0 6-6-0
Away/Home Record NEUTRAL 5-1-0
Points Per Game 29.7 33.6
Points Against Per Game 24.7 22.3
Passing Yards Per Game 232.2 94.8
Rushing Yards Per Game 179.9 286.9

Missouri vs. Army Prediction:

Did Missouri do their homework for Army in the Armed Forces Bowl? If the Tigers weren’t interested in preparing for the Black Knights, this one could develop into a blowout quickly. That said, even with preparations for this vaunted triple-option, it can be difficult to stop Army’s difficult offense.

Army is second-best in college football, with 286.9 rushing yards per game. They don’t just run the ball well, but the Black Knights finish and score points. That wasn’t the case versus a clone in Navy. However, generally, Army has scored points this season versus their opponents.

The Black Knights scored an average of 33.6 points per game for 27th in the FBS. That’s a good number for a team that only passes for 94.8 yards a game. Don’t be fooled by quarterback Christian Anderson, though. When asked, Anderson can throw the ball well.

Anderson has passed for 653 yards and 5 touchdowns with no interceptions in 2021. Anderson doesn’t force anything if it isn’t there through the air. Army rarely turns the ball over, and that’s one reason why they can be tough to beat. They also have a defense that should frustrate Missouri.

Missouri Tigers vs. Army Black Knights Betting Trends:


  • 1-5 ATS in their previous six games after a loss
  • 3-15 ATS in their previous 18 games after failing to cover the spread
  • 2-6 ATS in their previous eight games
  • 2-9 ATS in their previous 11 games versus a team with a winning record
  • 3-14 ATS in their previous 17 games in December


  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five bowl games
  • 6-2-1 ATS in their previous nine games at a neutral site
  • 4-0 ATS in their previous four games after failing to cover the spread
  • 7-2 ATS in their previous nine games after scoring less than 20 points
  • 12-4-1 ATS in their previous 17 games in December

Army can get into a physical game against Missouri in this one. The game plan for Missouri is to hand the ball off to Tyler Badie and watch him go to work.

Badie goes into the Armed Forces Bowl with 1,604 yards and 14 touchdowns on 6 yards per carry. He’s not opting out of the bowl despite an NFL future ahead of him. However, the Army defense will likely make Missouri put the ball in the air.

The Black Knights are 14th in the NCAA, with 111.8 yards allowed against the run per game. They are physical against the pass, with the Army conceding 208.9 passing yards per game for 37th. Overall, Army is 15th with 320.8 yards against per game.

The biggest mismatch in this one has to be the Army run game versus the Tigers’ defense. Missouri struggles to slow down tough run games, and they will see one of the best in the Armed Forces Bowl.

The Tigers have conceded 229.3 rushing yards per game near the back of the NCAA. Missouri is 124th in the nation against the run. It’s not what you want with Army on the schedule, especially a team that shouldn’t be as rusty as Missouri. Army played on December 11, while the Tigers most recently played on November 26.

I’m seeing Army grinding out a win and beating Missouri after they disappointed the Navy. The Black Knights in a 30-21 final looks about right.


Missouri vs. Army Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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