Nebraska vs. Georgia Spread Pick – CFB Capital One Bowl Game

The 2013 Capital One Bowl from Citrus Bowl Stadium in Orlando, FL features New Year’s Day (1:00pm ET) action with a Big-10 vs. SEC match up of two of the nation’s most successful programs in the 16th ranked Nebraska Cornhuskers (10-3) and the 7th ranked Georgia Bulldogs (11-2). The Cornhuskers are 6-6-1 ATS this season, and failed to cover in their last two games, a 13-7 win over Iowa on November 23rd as a 14.5 point favorite to close out the regular season, and a 70-31 shellacking against Wisconsin as a 3 point favorite in the Big 10 Championship game on December 1st. Georgia is 7-6 ATS this season, and the Bulldogs covered in 5 of their final six games including a 32-28 loss to number 2 Alabama in the SEC Championship Game as an 8 point underdog.

The Nebraska offense is a run-oriented spread attack that ranks 29th among FBS teams in scoring with 35.1 points per game and 24th in the nation in total offense with 462.2 yards per game. Quarterback Taylor Martinez (2,667 yards passing, 21 TD passes, 10 INTs; 973 yards rushing, 10 TDs) is a dual-threat who teams with backs Rex Burkhead and Ameer Abdullah (1,089 yards rushing, 10 TDs) to run for 2,597 yards for an offense that ranks 8th in the nation with 254.5 YPG on ground. The Cornhuskers have the number one ranked defense in the nation against the pass, allowing only 148,2 YPG through the air. Nebraska also ranks 57th in scoring defense with 26.2 PPG allowed and 22nd in total defense with 343.1 YPG allowed.

The Georgia offense is a balanced attack that ranks 19th in the nation in scoring offense with 37.2 points per game and 26th in the nation in total offense with 458.4 yards per contest. Quarterback Aaron Murray (3,458 yards passing, 31 TDs, 8 INTs), running back Todd Gurley (1,260 rushing yards, 16 TDs) and wide receiver Tavarres King (846 receiving yards) are all top performers for the Bulldogs. The Georgia defense is led by SEC Defensive Player of the Year Jarvis Jones (12.5 sacks, 7 forced fumbles) ranks 17th nationally in scoring defense with 18.8 PPG allowed and 27th in total defense with 351.2 YPG allowed.

Nebraska vs. Georgia Spread, Line and Betting Odds:

Spread:

Nebraska Cornhuskers +8.5
@ Georgia Bulldogs -8.5

Game Total:

Over 60.5 (-110)
Under 60.5 (-110)

Betting odds taken from Bovada.lv

Nebraska vs. Georgia Pick:

Nebraska is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. The Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. The over is 3-1-1 in Nebraska’s last 5 games overall and 3-0-1 in their last 4 games against winning teams. The under is 8-1 in the Cornhusker’s last 9 neutral site games and 5-0 in their last 5 bowl games. The under is 6-1 in Georgia’s last 7 games overall and 4-1 in their last 5 bowl games. Georgia is 3-1-1 in the Capital One Bowl, having last played in the game in 2009 when they defeated Michigan State 24-12.

Georgia narrowly missed out on a chance to play for the National Championship with their loss to Alabama in the SEC Championship Game, and the Bulldogs are a superior team to the Cornhuskers on both sides of the ball. The run game of Nebraska is a concern for the Bulldogs, as Alabama was able to put up 350 yards and 6.9 YPC in the SEC Championship Game. The Bulldogs have the more polished offense however, and they should be able to take advantage of a Nebraska defense that allowed 1,254 yards rushing in its 3 losses. With Nebraska having given up a whopping 70 points in their last game, the over/under is too risky a play here as Georgia is capable of slowing down the game with their running game or putting up points through the air if the Huskers are off their game again. Georgia has played a tougher schedule and is the superior team having come within a hair of playing for the national title; take the Bulldogs to cover in this game.

PICK = Georgia -8.5