Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Stanford Cardinal Pick – NCAAF Week 13

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish and Stanford Cardinal meet in their annual out of state rivalry game on Saturday night. The Legends Trophy is awarded to the winner of the Notre Dame and Stanford rivalry game. Notre Dame will look to keep it in South Bend for the third consecutive time.

Before last year’s game was scrapped because of the pandemic, Notre Dame beat Stanford in back-to-back games by a score of 38-17 and 45-24. This is more than just a rivalry game for Notre Dame. There is an outside shot that Notre Dame can get into the College Football Playoff.

It’s going to require a lot to go their way in the final weekend. And then possibly during conference championship weekend, Notre Dame is going to need some chips to fall ahead of them. They are going into Rivalry Week with a record of 10-1 with a loss against Cincinnati on October 2.

That’s a monumental loss for the Fighting Irish. They beat Cincinnati and they’d be in going into Week 13. The Bearcats would be fortunate to be in the top-10 if they lost that one. That’s one Notre Dame is going to look back on.

In any case, there’s still a slim chance depending on what happens elsewhere on Saturday, the Fighting Irish will finish in the top-4. The most realistic scenario I see playing out is Notre Dame going to a New Year’s Six game. They can still have a very good season without going to the CFP.

Notre Dame has no look ahead spot on Saturday night. They aren’t playing in the ACC like last season during the weird pandemic schedule and back to being independent. With no conference championship to concern themselves, they can put all of their energy into Stanford tonight.

This isn’t going to be the most rabid environment, with maybe more Notre Dame fans at Stanford Stadium. The most important thing for Notre Dame is to not overlook Stanford after blasting Georgia Tech by a score of 55-0. Head below for our free Notre Dame vs. Stanford pick on November 27, 2021.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Stanford Cardinal Live Odds and Betting History:

The following odds are courtesy of BetUS:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Notre Dame Fighting Irish -20.5 (-110) -1000 Over 53 (-110)
Stanford Cardinal +20.5 (-110) +700 Under 53 (-110)
Team Data Notre Dame Fighting Irish Stanford Cardinal
Overall Record 10-1 3-8
ATS Record 8-3-0 3-8-0
Away/Home Record 3-0 1-4
ATS Away/Home 2-1-0 1-4-0
Points Per Game 34.4 21.0
Points Against Per Game 18.6 31.3
Passing Yards Per Game 256.5 219.8
Rushing Yards Per Game 150.3 90.2

Notre Dame vs. Stanford Prediction:

Notre Dame has been steamrolling teams across the past few weeks. They are trying to get the attention of the committee, but it’s not going to work without opponents dropping in front of them.

The Fighting Irish pulled away from Navy to cover 21 points in a 34-6 win on November 6, and then a 28-3 win over Virginia on November 13. Everything was on display in their 55-0 win against Georgia Tech.

Their offense was moving, while the defense wasn’t allowing the Yellow Jackets to move an inch. Jordan Yates passed for 96 yards and an interception against the Fighting Irish defense.

Jahmyr Gibbs, a load of a running back to handle, was able to gain just 58 yards against the Notre Dame front. Notre Dame is stout defensively with 18.6 points allowed per game, so no surprise.

Since a 34-31 loss against Washington State on October 16, the Cardinal offense has been putrid with 11.25 points scored per game in their last four outings. They’ve gone on a six-game losing streak since beating Oregon on October 2.


Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Stanford Cardinal Betting Trends:

Notre Dame

  • 6-0 ATS in their previous six games
  • 6-0 ATS in their previous six games as a favorite
  • 6-1 ATS in their previous seven games on the road
  • 18-7-1 ATS in their previous 26 games after covering the spread
  • 12-3-1 ATS in their previous 16 games in November

Stanford

  • 0-6 ATS in their previous six games
  • 2-6 ATS in their previous eight games versus non-conference
  • 1-5 ATS in their previous six games as an underdog at Stanford
  • 1-7 ATS in their previous eight games at Stanford
  • 0-9-2 ATS in their previous 11 games in November

The Cardinal are going to have a tough time moving the ball on Notre Dame tonight. They are one of the worst in the country with 310 yards per game for 119th in the FBS. Their inability to run the ball has put Tanner McKee in a difficult spot.

McKee has passed for 14 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 64.1% completions. He’s being asked to do too much for what he’s capable of. A potent run game would help, but Stanford is 126th in the country with only 90.2 yards per game on the ground.

Expect Stanford to attempt to run the ball, get stuffed, with McKee struggling to consistently deliver on 3rd down. On the other side, Notre Dame should be able to pound the ball at will. Just what the Irish do best.

Stanford is paper thin up front defensively. They’ve allowed 243.8 yards per game against the run for 127th in the FBS.

Jake Coan should find room in the secondary to deliver with the secondary having to play close to the line against a dangerous Notre Dame backfield.

Look for Notre Dame to run away from the Cardinal in the second-half. Stanford will put a couple of impressive drives together, but too many mistakes are going to add up.

I’m going to side with Notre Dame to get ahead and stay there. They should be able to extend their lead against a soft Stanford defense in the second-half. I’m looking at a 41-17 win for a cover on the road.

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Notre Dame vs. Stanford Pick
NOTRE DAME -20.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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