The Ohio State Buckeyes and Indiana Hoosiers clash at Indiana University Memorial Stadium on Saturday night. Ohio State needs to continue winning and hope for dominoes to fall ahead of them.
They are going into this one as the first team out in the College Football Playoff. The No. 5 team in the country suffered a 35-28 loss against Oregon at home earlier in the season. They win that game and we wouldn’t be talking about Ohio State at No. 5.
Since the loss against Oregon on September 11, Ohio State are winners in four straight games. In their most recent win, the Buckeyes topped the Maryland Terrapins by a score of 66-17. This was after beating up on Rutgers, 52-13, Akron, 59-7, and Tulsa, 41-20.
— Ohio State Football (@OhioStateFB) October 21, 2021
That isn’t the most impressive lineup of teams. I know people want to say that CJ Stroud and Ohio State are back after bouncing back from the Oregon loss, but this isn’t wasn’t the toughest stretch in their schedule.
Ohio State did what was expected of them. They aren’t going to see a step up in class against the Hoosiers. A win against Indiana isn’t going to give them precedence over any of the current top-4 teams if they win in Week 8.
Indiana are looking for some traction after a 20-15 loss against the Michigan State Spartans. It was their second straight loss after a 24-0 loss versus the Penn State Nittany Lions. That was a lifeless effort offensively.
— Indiana Football (@IndianaFootball) October 22, 2021
With a record of 2-4, Indiana has wins over Idaho, 56-14, and Western Kentucky, 33-31. They needed everything in them to pass Western Kentucky with a win. A win over Ohio State would be a monster victory for a team that has no good wins this year.
It’s a dangerous spot for Ohio State in the sense that they’ve been beating up on weak opponents recently. If they don’t paste Indiana and struggle to pull away, that’s going to earn them no points in the eyes of the committee and public. Head below for our free Ohio State vs. Indiana pick on October 23, 2021.
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Indiana Hoosiers Live Odds and Betting History:
The following odds are courtesy of BetUS:
|Ohio State Buckeyes||-21 (-110)||-1400||Over 58.5 (-110)|
|Indiana Hoosiers||+21 (-110)||+825||Under 58.5 (-110)|
|Team Data||Ohio State Buckeyes||Indiana Hoosiers|
|Points Per Game||32.4||43.7|
|Points Against Per Game||48.5||22.3|
|Passing Yards Per Game||352.2||215.8|
|Rushing Yards Per Game||210.5||124.2|
Ohio State vs. Indiana Prediction:
C.J. Stroud has been putting up some big numbers for the Buckeyes this season. He’s passed for 1,699 yards, 18 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions on 66.6%. Not bad for a first-year quarterback, but no doubt that Stroud has padded his stats against bad teams.
When Ohio State needed him to come up with a clutch drive against the Ducks, Stroud struggled and couldn’t get it done.
The good news on Saturday night is that Indiana is not a team that should be able to go point for point with the Buckeyes. Their offense has been a mess this season.
The Hoosiers are 108th in the country with just 340 yards allowed per game. They’re scoring only 22.3 points per game for a pretty discouraging number.
The only games Indiana has scored more than 25 points against have been Idaho and Western Kentucky. Take those out and they’ve netted less than 20 points per game.
Indiana needs Jack Tuttle to progress quickly. He’s the starting quarterback now after sitting on the bench for the first month.
Tuttle is coming off a poor performance against the Michigan State Spartans with 188 yards and 2 interceptions. He has thrown 1 touchdown and 3 interceptions in 2021.
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Indiana Hoosiers Betting Trends:
- 6-2 ATS in their previous eight games versus a team with a losing record
- 4-1-1 ATS in their previous six games on the road
- 7-0 ATS in their previous seven games in October
- 3-0-1 ATS in their previous four games as a favorite on the road
- 12-5 ATS in their previous 17 games after covering the spread
- 3-11-1 ATS in their previous 15 games as an underdog at Indiana
- 6-13 ATS in their previous 19 games after a loss
- 0-4 ATS in their previous four games
- 0-4 ATS in their previous four games as an underdog
- UNDER is 5-0 in their previous five games versus the Big Ten
Ohio State are first in the FBS with 562.7 yards per game of total offense. They also lead with 48.5 points per game.
Like I said, the Buckeyes have feasted on some bad teams to get there, but they should be able to generate enough offense to pull away from an Indiana offense that has struggled to consistently string drives together.
The Buckeyes shouldn’t be concerned with Tuttle doing much damage against them in this one. Their defense has held up well this season with 20.5 points allowed per game.
With Indiana offering little threat offensively, expect the Buckeyes to pull away for a four touchdown win or thereabout. A final score of 38-10 looks about right in this one.