The top game in the Big 12 this Saturday (3:30pm ET) features the 6th ranked Oklahoma St. Cowboys (5-0) traveling to Austin, TX to take on the 22nd ranked Texas Longhorns (4-1) as OSU seeks its first back-to-back win over Texas in school history. OSU trounced Kansas 70-28 at home last week, and opened conference play with an exciting 30-29 win over Texas A&M on the road three weeks ago. Texas was blown out in the Red River Shootout against Oklahoma last week by a count of 55-17 and won their other BIG 12 game on the road against Iowa St. 37-14 two weeks ago.
The Cowboys possess the highest scoring offense among all FBS teams, averaging 51.4 points per contest, and they rank second in total offense and passing offense with 577.4 and 431.2 yards per game respectively. Quarterback Brandon Weeden and wide receiver Justin Blackmon may be the top pitch-and-catch duo in college football, combining for 46 catches and 534 yards (11.6 YPR) and 6 TDs this season. The OSU defense has been almost as exciting for their opponents, ranking 103rd in both total defense with 438 YPG allowed and passing defense with 272.2 YPG allowed while allowing 27.6 PPG (72nd among FBS teams). Texas has been mediocre on both sides of the ball, with the offense featuring a two quarterback rotation of David Ash and Case McCoy who combined for four turnovers last week. The offense has averaged 30.8 PPG (52nd among FBS teams) and 388.4 YPG (69th), while the defense has allowed 22.8 PPG (47th among FBS teams) and 321.8 YPG (24th).
OSU vs. Texas Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Oklahoma St. Cowboys -7
@Texas Longhorns +7
Over 64.5 (-110)
Under 64.5 (-110)
Betting odds taken from BetOnline.com <– $900 FREE on 1st deposit
OSU vs. Texas Pick:
The Cowboys have won only 3 times in their total of 25 meetings with Texas, including their 33-16 victory at Texas last year. OSU is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall, and 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games. The under is 19-7 in OSU’s last 26 road games. Texas is 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 home games and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games overall. The under is 6-2 in Texas’ last 8 home games.
Weeden threw for 409 yards of the teams 532 total yards and Blackmon had nine receptions for 145 yards and one TD in last year’s game, when the Cowboys scored early and often while building up a 30 point lead prior to the fourth quarter. Texas with its tandem of young quarterbacks is not up to the task of keeping pace with the top-scoring offense in the country. This game could end up looking very similar to last year’s game, as the Longhorns still have no answer for the firepower of OSU’s offense. OSU also has a defense that has been opportunistic this season, forcing four turnovers in their win last week and 14 total takeaways in their last three games. That is a bad sign for a Texas team whose young signal callers proved they were not up to the task of facing a top ten team last week and had trouble holding on to the ball. OSU is a pretty safe pick in this game, take the Cowboys to cover the 7 points in a game where the outcome could be decided by halftime if Texas turns the ball over the way they did last week.