Oklahoma State vs. Texas NCAAF Pick – Week 4

The Oklahoma State Cowboys make the short trip south to Austin for a Big 12 showdown with the Texas Longhorns. This is the conference opener for both teams, but Texas have already played a worthy opponent. Texas welcomed the LSU Tigers to Austin two weeks ago and didn’t get their desired result. The game turned into a shootout and one of the better games we’ve seen this season in college football.

Ultimately in the end, Texas were unable to play keep up successful enough with Joe Burrow and company. Burrow got the attention of NFL scouts with that performance. LSU have struggled to find a good quarterback over the last decade, but the former Ohio State product appears to be the answer. Whether that develops into a trip to the College Football Playoff remains to be seen.

Texas are well behind the 8-ball already with respects to the playoff. However, if they win out and capture the Big 12 title, there would likely be an argument. As the No. 14 team in the country going into this week, it’s going to take a lot of slip ups in front of them as well. The Sooners look destined to represent the Big 12 in the College Football Playoff, but we’re still waiting for them to play somebody as well.

A lot of crazy can ensue between now and December. If Oklahoma State were to win the Big 12, it is going to happen on the arm and legs of freshman quarterback, Spencer Sanders. He’s looked terrific thus far, but he hasn’t had attest like this in his college career. Sanders is likely going to rack up the touchdowns and yards in his career at Oklahoma State.

Just like against LSU, the Texas defense is going to have some pressure to deal with on Saturday night. Sanders may be a freshman, but he has been comfortable and in control. That’s not to say Sam Ehlinger can’t lead his Longhorns to victory here. He has the homefield on a Saturday night and Texas have a high-powered attack. This should be a fun contest. Head below for our free Oklahoma State vs. Texas pick.

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas Longhorns NCAAF Week 4 Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Oklahoma State +6.5(-105)
  • Texas -6.5(-115)

Total:

  • Over 73(-115)
  • Under 73(-105)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Oklahoma State vs. Texas Pick:

Texas would have beat LSU if they had a little bit of defense, but they don’t, and Burrow was able to carve them up. Burrow passed for 471 yard and 4 touchdowns and 1 interception. He connected with his receivers on 31-of-39 passing. The ground game was affective for LSU as well, with Clyde Edwards-Helaire rushing for 87 yards. With that in mind, there are going to be holes open for Oklahoma State to make plays.

Making plays is all the freshman Spencer Sanders has been doing for the Cowboys. He’s been doing it with his arm and legs. Sanders has passed for 7 touchdowns and 1 interception on 67.2% completions. He’s also added 219 yards rushing and a touchdown on the ground with his legs. Oklahoma State haven’t played the best of teams yet, but against the one competent offense that the Longhorns played, they were getting gashed defensively.

Sam Ehlinger has yet to make a mistake for Texas. He’s perfect through the air with 11 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. He doesn’t nearly have the same legs that Sanders does in the rushing game, but Ehlinger can still run around on an option or when the play breaks down. His most impressive outing was 4 touchdowns and 401 yards against an SEC defense.

Oklahoma State are 10th in the nation with 1,641 total yards. Where they really shine is in the running attack. Sanders can toss the ball around, but his ability to throw keeps the defense honest and Oklahoma State can gash the ball on the ground. The Cowboys have averaged 285.3 rushing yards per game so far. That’s good for the top-10 in the FBS. Chuba Hubbard has torched the opposition for 521 rushing yards on 7.9 yards per carry.

The Cowboys have always played Texas tough. It doesn’t matter how good or bad they are, they’ve always given the Longhorns fits. They get up to play this team every year. Oklahoma State won a 38-35 final season, 13-10 in 2017, 49-31 in 2016, and 30-27 in 2015. Since 2010, Oklahoma State have either beaten Texas or kept the game within 6 points in eight out of nine games. The Cowboys have the horses to stay with Texas in this game. In a game that looks like the Game of the Week, 6.5 points should be a good play on Oklahoma State.

The Bet
OKLAHOMA STATE +6.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.