Oklahoma vs. West Virginia O/U NCAAF Pick – Week 13

In what might ultimately end up being the Game of the Week, the Oklahoma Sooners travel to Morgantown for a Friday night showdown with the West Virginia Mountaineers. A trip to the Big 12 Championship is on the line, with the winner getting a ticket to play the Texas Longhorns in the big game. I don’t want to get ahead of myself, Texas still must beat Kansas this week, but the Longhorns should be able to handle their business.

They just can’t overlook the Jayhawks and have their eyes on the Big 12 Championship already. Oklahoma were not keyed in on Kansas last week and they got taken for 40 points. With Kyler Murray and this Sooners’ offense, 40 points isn’t enough to win, though. Oklahoma ultimately earned a 55-40 victory, with Murray responsible for 5 touchdowns, 2 through the air and 3 rushing.

Murray is playing like Russell Wilson was at Wisconsin before going to the NFL. Murray might have a smaller frame than Wilson does, but he has an extra gear that Wilson didn’t have. The Oklahoma offense is also giving Murray a lot of more freedom to do what he wants. If you recall, the Wisconsin running game was unstoppable when Wilson was there, they didn’t have to be too creative to score points. With all of the injuries Oklahoma has endured at running back, the offense is more like give the ball to Murray and watch him work.

Murray was drafted by the Oakland Athletics to play baseball, so he’s going to have an interesting decision to make soon. He would surely get a shot in the NFL, but he is a tremendous baseball player as well. The quarterback on the opposite side Friday night will be going to the NFL. Scouts will have their eyes peeled on Will Grier in this big game tonight. It may not be the stingiest challenge defensively, but they are going to want to see how he plays in a pressure position. Also, anything less than shredding the Oklahoma defense will be viewed unfavorably. This game could get wild, so buckle up and enjoy. Head below for our free Oklahoma vs. West Virginia pick.

Oklahoma Sooners vs. West Virginia Mountaineers NCAAF Betting Odds:

Oklahoma -1.5(-117)
vs. West Virginia +1.5(-103)

Over 83(-115)
Under 83(-105)

Betting odds provided by Sportsbetting.ag

Oklahoma vs. West Virginia Pick:

West Virginia got into a fun game last week, but it wasn’t something they wanted to see. It was a back-and-forth affair in the second-half, with Oklahoma State pulling the upset as 6-point dogs to hand West Virginia their second loss of the season. The Mountaineers would need a small miracle to find a way into the playoff now, but are still alive and well for the Big 12 Championship.

And they are back home in an electric atmosphere on a Friday night. Grier has thrown 33 touchdowns and 8 interceptions for a 67.2% completion. He faced some turbulence early in the season, but has since settled down to look like a Heisman candidate. Grier has passed for 11 touchdowns and just 1 interception the last four games.

Overall, the Mountaineers have racked up 502 yards of offense per game and 40.9 points per game. They are likely going to need that and more to beat Oklahoma. Grier might need to hit 500 yards with his arm to be able to get the Mountaineers past Murray and the Sooners.

Murray is going to keep coming at the West Virginia defense and that’s going to leave Grier to win this one with his arm. The Oklahoma defense is more than exploitable. They were likely looking ahead to this week, though allowing 40 points to Kansas is embarrassing. The Jayhawks have had one of the worst offenses in the FBS for the past decade.

Mike Stoops was fired as the defensive coordinator, which helped for a couple of games, but they’re right back to getting torched. They’ve given up 40 points in each of their last three games for an average of 44.3 points per game. Grier should be able to make a secondary that is allowing 106th in passing yards allowed look silly on Friday night. He’s going to have to score, because they have the top ranked Sooners’ offense to contend with.

Murray has thrown 34 touchdowns and 6 interceptions with a 70.3% completion percentage. His legs make him especially dangerous, as he’s rushed for 739 yards and 10 touchdowns on the ground. Oklahoma lead the country in yardage with 576 yards per game and 49.5 points scored. They have scored at least 45 points in seven straight weeks. If you watched the Chiefs and Rams on Monday, you probably already watched a preview of this game. This is going to be all about Murray and Grier dueling. I got in on the OVER when it opened at 81.5, but I anticipate a 52-45 or 48-41 game, so still like it at this number.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.