Oregon Ducks vs. Oklahoma Sooners Pick – Alamo Bowl December 29, 2021

The Alamo Bowl features the Oregon Ducks and Oklahoma Sooners on Wednesday night in San Antonio.

This is the first matchup of bowl season with a couple of powerhouse programs involved. The Alamo Bowl isn’t a New Year’s Six bowl, but Oregon and Oklahoma has a nice ring to it.

Oregon was hoping to go to the Rose Bowl after a win in the Pac-12 Championship. It wasn’t meant to be. They lost to the Utah Utes for the second time in three games.

The Ducks went to Salt Lake City for a 38-7 loss and then did a similar act two weeks later in Las Vegas in a 38-10 loss.

The Ducks had no clue how to get physical with the Utes. They were unable to fix their mistakes from the first meeting.

Oregon lost the Pac-12 Championship, lost their head coach, and then accepted an invitation to the Alamo Bowl.

Mario Cristobal is off to coach at the University of Miami, which was an opportunity too big for him to pass up on. Cristobal grew up in Miami and has family there.

It was a no-brainer for him to resign from Oregon and go to Miami. Wide receivers’ coach, Bryan McClendon, will oversee head coaching duties for the Alamo Bowl. He will be up against Bob Stoops in this one.

Huh, Stoops? If you haven’t been paying attention, Stoops is filling in for a game after Lincoln Riley departed for USC.

It’s cool to see Stoops come back for a game after retiring in 2017. He spent 18 years as the head coach before Riley took over in Norman.

Brett Venables will assume full head coaching duties next year. This is Stoops’ team on Wednesday night in San Antonio, though.

Head below for our free Oregon vs. Oklahoma Alamo Bowl pick on December 29, 2021.

Oregon Ducks vs. Oklahoma Sooners Betting Odds and Team Statistics:

The following odds are courtesy of BetUS:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Oregon Ducks +6.5 (-105) +215 Over 60 (-110)
Oklahoma Sooners -6.5 (-115) -255 Under 60 (-110)
Team Data Oregon Ducks Oklahoma Sooners
Overall Record 10-3 10-2
ATS Record 5-8-0 5-6-1
Points Per Game 31.4 38.4
Points Against Per Game 25.5 25.3
Passing Yards Per Game 215.5 265.6
Rushing Yards Per Game 202.5 176.5

Oregon vs. Oklahoma Prediction:

Oklahoma has to be thrilled about playing for Bob Stoops in the Alamo Bowl. He didn’t come out of retirement to lose his one-game farewell. Expect the Sooners to play with a purpose in the Alamo Bowl.

This is a nice springboard game for Caleb Williams into next year. After taking over for Spencer Rattler against Texas, Williams had much better control of the offense than Rattler.

Williams passed for 1,670 yards, 18 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions on 62.5% completions. He can also run, gaining 408 yards and 6 touchdowns on 5.7 yards per carry going into the Alamo Bowl.

Williams is not the simplest of quarterbacks to prepare for, even with extended time. How much motivation does Oregon have to prepare for him following a disappointing attempt in the Pac-12 Championship?

Their body language against Utah was terrible. They looked defeated in the second half and didn’t want to be pushed around anymore.

Williams will run past the Ducks’ defense if they’re not interested in the Alamo Bowl. Despite struggling with Rattler early in the season, Oklahoma had 442.1 yards per game for 29th in the FBS and 11th with 38.4 points per game.

Oregon Ducks vs. Oklahoma Sooners Betting Trends:


  • 6-14-1 ATS in their previous 21 games versus non-conference teams
  • 6-12 ATS in their previous 18 games
  • 9-4 ATS in their previous 13 games versus a team with a winning record
  • UNDER is 5-1 in their previous six games as an underdog
  • UNDER is 4-1 in their previous five games versus the Big 12


  • 18-2 overall in their previous 20 games
  • 4-0 ATS in their previous four games at a neutral field
  • 4-1-1 ATS in their previous six games versus a team with a winning record
  • 5-2 ATS in their previous seven bowl games
  • OVER is 5-1 in their previous six games versus the Pac-12

Williams had a tough assignment in the Bedlam Series against Oklahoma State. The Cowboys’ defense was stingy this year, but Williams played well with 252 yards and 3 touchdowns through the air.

He should chew up an Oregon defense that is 88th in the nation with over 240 yards allowed per game against the pass.

The Ducks are dealing with injuries, transfers, and opts out. Currently, Oregon has 59 defensive starts and 31 offensive starts OUT for the Alamo Bowl.

Mario Cristobal going to Miami has caused players to look at other colleges. Oklahoma does not have as many issues, nor Covid problems in their program, so they’re unscathed compared to Oregon.

Even if Oregon was healthy, I don’t like Anthony Brown keeping up with Williams. The Ducks can run, but the Sooners are stout upfront.

Brown has passed for 15 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 63.7% completions. This isn’t an Oregon offense that wants to air it out, though they’ll probably have to with the Sooners scoring.

Stopping the run is key to beating Oregon. The Sooners are 24th in the FBS with 123.8 rushing yards allowed per game. Take that away and they can’t do anything.

The last time they met, Oklahoma lost on a terrible onside kick call in 2006. The Sooners recovered, and the ball was incorrectly awarded to Oregon. You know what happened next.

There won’t be any controversy in the Alamo Bowl. With players dropping like flies for Oregon and motivation for the Sooners to get up for Stoops in his one-game return, expect Oklahoma to pull away.


Oregon vs. Oklahoma Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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