Oregon Ducks vs. Utah Utes Pick – NCAAF Week 12

The Oregon Ducks are on the road in Salt Lake City at the University of Utah on Saturday night. This is a big game for Oregon, as they attempt to stay in the College Football Playoff picture. Oregon is going into Week 12 with a record of 9-1 and No. 3 in the CFP.

The Ducks must win out and they’ll be going to the playoff. I don’t like their chances against the other elite teams in the country, but nevertheless, they went on the road to beat the Ohio State Buckeyes. That win is propping them up high at the moment.

They lose in that spot, and they’d probably be around No. 10 with their loss against the Stanford Cardinal. The College Football Playoff committee is looking at the win against Ohio State very favorably, because they haven’t been near that good the rest of the season.

Good team? No doubt about it. However, we’ll have to see if Oregon is on an elite level, I have my doubts. The Ducks are coming off a 38-24 win against the Washington State Cougars at home. Solid win, though that did nothing to impress me against an inferior Washington State team.

Utah welcomes the Ducks to Salt Lake City looking for an “upset” on Saturday night. The rankings would make you see this as an upset if the Utes win, but not the case according to oddsmakers.

Utah is playing in top form at the moment, as they head into Week 12 with three straight wins and a win in six of their last seven attempts. They have some good wins in their portfolio, including a win on the road against USC, 42-26, as an underdog, and then 35-21 over a ranked Arizona State.

The Utes are feeling confident in their chances on Saturday night. In their most recent win, they had a look ahead spot, but handled Arizona, 38-29. Arizona is bad, so no extra points for that win, but avoiding getting swept with Oregon next up looked good on the Utes.

Head below for our free Oregon vs. Utah pick on November 20, 2021.

Oregon Ducks vs. Utah Utes Live Odds and Betting History:

The following odds are courtesy of BetUS:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Oregon Ducks +3 (-105) +140 Over 58.5 (-105)
Utah Utes -3 (-115) -160 Under 58.5 (-115)
Team Data Oregon Ducks Utah Utes
Overall Record 9-1 7-3
ATS Record 4-6-0 4-6-0
Away/Home Record 3-1 4-0
ATS Away/Home 3-1-0 2-2-0
Points Per Game 35.3 35.7
Points Against Per Game 22.6 23.8
Passing Yards Per Game 214.8 223.6
Rushing Yards Per Game 226.5 214.7

Oregon vs. Utah Prediction:

It’s best for the Oregon Ducks not to overlook the Utah Utes in this spot. That would be a disastrous move for Oregon.

They are dealing with a lot of injuries to their offensive line, but it hasn’t really hurt them so far. There are three offensive linemen ruled OUT for Oregon on Saturday night.

Oregon doesn’t move the ball at lightning speed like we were accustomed to years back, but they move the ball consistently and down the field.

The Ducks are 33rd in the country with 444.1 yards per game, with the running game leading the way. They’ve accumulated 226.5 rushing yards per game for 11th in the FBS.

Anthony Brown doesn’t have a strong arm, but carries himself well. He’s passed for 12 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 64.6% completions.

His ability to run is what has him in a starting role, though. Brown has run for 551 yards and 8 touchdowns on 5.1 yards per carry. In his last outing, he had a season-high 123 yards against Washington State.


Oregon Ducks vs. Utah Utes Betting Trends:

Oregon

  • 5-1 ATS in their previous six games as an underdog
  • 8-2 ATS in their previous ten games versus a team with a winning record
  • 1-5 ATS in their previous six games after covering the spread
  • 3-7 ATS in their previous ten games as an underdog on the road
  • UNDER is 6-1 in their previous seven games on the road

Utah

  • 12-4 ATS in their previous 16 games after a win
  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games versus a team with a winning road record
  • 4-2 ATS in their previous six games
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games versus the Pac 12North Division
  • OVER is 6-0 in their previous six games

Utah will be amped up for this game. They’ve had this game circled on the calendar for a while now. Their defense is most likely going to be ready for Oregon on Saturday.

The Utes have done well defensively, as they’ve allowed 346.2 yards per game for 35th in the nation. Nothing outstanding, but in this big of a spot, it’s not a surprise if they turn the energy up.

Against the run the Utes have held opponents to 138.5 yards a game, and are solid against the pass with 207.7 yards allowed through the air per game. At home this season, teams have gained just 105.3 rushing yards per game versus Utah.

It’s impossible to beat Oregon without stopping the run, and I think Utah is going to be up for this one. Utah’s Cameron Rising doesn’t know how to make mistakes, so he can allow the defense to win this one.

Rising has passed for 14 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 63.5% completions. He’s also gained 321 yards and 4 touchdowns on 7.1 yards per carry. It’s hard to rattle this sophomore. Utah has been solid and underrated offensively with 35.7 points per game.

If Utah can keep Kaydon Thibodeaux away from Rising, at least to an extent, the Utes should be able to win the possession game at home. Oregon’s defense isn’t unbeatable despite Thibodeaux.

The Ducks are 57th in the nation with 367.7 yards allowed per game. Their secondary hasn’t been anything to worry much about, as they’ve conceded 248 yards per game for 95th in the FBS.

The No. 3 team in the country is a 3-point underdog versus No. 23? Yeah, I think you know what the oddsmakers are doing here. Oregon looks like the trap of the week, with Utah having a good chance of winning and covering 3 points.

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Oregon vs. Utah Pick
UTAH UTES -3
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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