Patriots Bears Spread Betting Line and Predictions

In what was being billed as the biggest game of the year, the New England Patriots sent a loud and clear message to the New York Jets and everyone else in the league for that matter: these guys mean business. In a game that was supposed to be a hotly contested matchup between two AFC powerhouses, the Patriots absolutely embarrassed the Jets, cruising to a 45-3 shellacking against supposedly one of the league’s top defensive units. The Patriots now have firm control of their own destiny, as they sit 1st in the conference at 10-2, meaning that if they win out, they will receive a 1st round bye, along with home field advantage until the Super Bowl, should they survive that long. Perhaps just as importantly, the Pats made it clear that they are the team to beat in the AFC, as Tom Brady continued to line his resume for an MVP award, throwing for 326 yards and 4 touchdowns, all 4 going to different receivers. The fact that the Patriots have been so successful this season working with such unheralded names as Danny Woodhead, BenJarvus Green-Ellis and Deion Branch is a testament to Bill Belichick’s coaching genius. The man understands the game on a level that very few can claim to be on. Brady has also been an absolute beast, throwing for 27 touchdowns this season against only 4 interceptions. In his last 5, he has thrown for at least 2 scores, and has thrown for at least 1 in every game this year. If he isn’t on the short list for MVP, there is something wrong with the selection committee. Wes Welker also seems to be nearing 100% health again, as he has over 80 yards receiving in 3 of his last 4. A healthy Welker goes a long way in helping the Patriots run the kind of offensive that they like. Meanwhile, Danny Woodhead is a versatile threat that drives defenses crazy since he can be plugged into so many different spots. It must have been especially sweet for Woodhead to play so well against the Jets, his former team.

The Chicago Bears have been exceeding all expectations thus far. Lovie Smith started the season as a coach on the hot seat, and now he is in the discussion for coach of the year. The Bears currently sit at the top of the NFC North at 9-3, with the Packers nipping at their heels, only a game back. The good news for Chicago is that they control their own fate. If they keep winning, nothing can stop them from the postseason. The bad news is that they have possibly the most difficult schedule left of any team, facing the Patriots this week, before games against the revitalized Vikings, Jets, and a season finale against Green Bay which could well decide the division. To their credit, the Bears have won 5 straight, including an impressive win against Philly a couple weeks back. Mike Martz has sorted out some of the Bears’ offensive line issues, although Jay Cutler is still getting sacked a whole lot. Despite this, Cutler has been great as of late for the Bears, throwing for 5 touchdowns in his last 2 games. While Cutler hasn’t been the difference maker for Chicago, he is doing enough to let the defense handle things on their end. Speaking of which, the Bears defense has been a dominant force this year, and are 1 of only 3 teams to allow fewer than 200 points. Led by Brian Urlacher, the Bears have allowed only 16 points per game, and are 2nd in the league in fewest rush yards allowed per game at 84.9.

This match of division leaders is a chance for the Bears to prove they are for real. There are a lot of people questioning if they will even make the playoffs despite the fact that they are leading their division, and this game is a good opportunity for them to shout down the naysayers. They’ll be going up against a defense, that, on paper, is terrible, giving up 287.4 yards passing per game, the 2nd worst mark in the league. But try telling Mark Sanchez that after they made him look absolutely awful last week. For all the yards they allow, the Patriots do have 18 interceptions on the year, which is tied for 2nd in the NFL. Tom Brady will have a pretty good test in this one, as the Bears defense only allows 215 yards through the air, and are just about unstoppable against the run. Look for the Pats to run plenty of screen passes to Woodhead and quick slants to Welker. Both teams have everything to play for in this one, as playoff implications abound.

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Patriots vs Bears Spread, Line and Betting Odds:

Spread:

New England Patriots -3
@ Chicago Bears +3

Game Total:

Over (-110)
41
Under (-110)

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Patriots vs Bears Betting Predictions/Picks for Week 14

Spread Prediction (TOP PLAY): The best thing the Bears have going for them in this one is the fact that the Pats aren’t playing at home. They have been unstoppable in Foxboro, but have looked slightly less dominant on the road. With that said, the Bears are only 4-2 at home, so they aren’t exactly unbeatable in their home stadium. The Patriots just look like the more complete team, and I’m still not confident in Cutler’s ability to exploit what weaknesses the Pats do have. While one doesn’t want to read too much into one week’s performance, the Patriots looked unreal last week, and there is no reason that Belichick won’t have his team ready to go for this one. The Bears did nothing to impress as they eked out a win over Detroit last week, as their 9-3 record still feels a little like a sham from where I sit. The Bears are also only 3-8-1 in weeks following an ATS loss, while the Pats have only lost 2 of their last 9 ATS. The Patriots will keep rolling here as they take down the Bears with relative ease.

Pick (TOP PLAY): Patriots -3

Game Total Prediction: The Bears do have a very tough defense, but then again so do the Jets and look what Brady and company did to them. New England can put up points against anyone, and unlike some teams, won’t take their foot off the accelerator even with a big lead. Meanwhile, despite their solid performance last week, the Patriots still give up a healthy 22.4 points per game. The Over is 5-0 the last 5 times the Pats were favorites, and is 12-2 in their last 14 overall. Give me the Over in this one.

Pick: Over 41

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