Ravens Texans Spread Line and Betting Predictions MNF

The Baltimore Ravens are coming off a tough loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers. They had the game in their hands late until Flacco was sacked and fumbled the ball, giving the Steelers great field position to go ahead and win the game. They’ll need to win this week to stay in the wild card hunt, as the Steelers beat the Bengals yesterday to stay atop of the AFC North division. Houston, however, won’t be looking for a win for any playoff purposes. At 5-7 this year, they’ll have to wait another year for their first playoff game in team history. They have a very talented team, minus their secondary which is and always has been in shambles, but perhaps it’s their coach Gary Kubiak who’ll have to leave before they end up playing in January.

Houston lost to the Eagles last Thursday night, and they’ve had a lot of time to prepare for this game against the Ravens. They hung close with Philly thanks to their offense, but their defense couldn’t stop Mike Vick from passing for over 300 yards and 2 TDs and rushing for 48 and another TD. They’ll be in tough again tonight against a Ravens team that ranks middle of the pack in offensive production, but puts over 20 points a game on the board. Houston will look to get Arian Foster going early on, but as they’ve fallen behind in games they’ve abandoned their best playmaker from the backfield and leaned heavily on WR Andre Johnson. This matchup is a classic battle of good offense and bad defense vs. good defense and bad offense.

The Ravens have taken advantage of an easy schedule this year, with wins over Cle, Den, Buff, Mia, Car, and Tampa, while losing to Cinci, Pitt, New England and Atlanta. But they’re not as good as their 8-4 record indicates. They’ve been inconsistent and merely average away from home, with a road record of 3-3. Their biggest problem has been running the ball, as they’ve only managed to average just over 100 yards per game in total rushing offense. That’s good for 19th in the league. Things won’t get an easier this week against a Texans run defense that plays the run very well, ranking in the top 10 and impressively holding Titans RB Chris Johnson to 7 yards on 5 carries two weeks ago.

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Ravens vs. Texans Spread, Line and Betting Odds:

Spread:

Baltimore Ravens -3
@ Houston Texans +3

Game Total:

Over (-110)
46
Under (-110)

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Ravens vs. Texans Prediction for Week 14 Betting:

Spread Prediction (Top Play): I suggested taking the Texans last week against the Eagles because it looked like a great letdown spot for Philly and a great prime time situation for the Texans offense to explode. I was wrong. Houston lost by 10 in a 9.5 point spread. Poor teams usually play better than usual on prime time, but this year the Texans have had trouble getting up for their prime time games. They lost to the Colts by 13 and the Eagles by 10, two games that they should have been closer given their offensive ability and defense against the run. The Ravens are a better coached team than Houston and they have leaders who will make sure they bounce back from their loss to the Steelers last week. The line is too low for me in this one so I am confidently taking the Ravens -3.

Top Play Prediction = Baltimore -3.

Game Total Prediction: Houston can do one thing very well and can’t do the other very well. The first is score and the second is stop teams from scoring. They rank 10th in offensive points with 24 per game, and 29th in points allowed with over 26 per game. They’ve given up over 29 per game in their last 55, discounting the fluky shutout over the offensively challenged Titans. I really like the Over in this game, as I think the Texans will have no choice but to score fast in response to a Ravens team that will take it to them early.

Prediction = Over 46.

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