San Jose State Spartans vs. San Diego State Aztecs Pick – NCAAF Week 10

The San Jose State Spartans and San Diego State Aztecs square off at SDCCU Stadium on Friday night as one of three games on the college football schedule. There is one really big battle between the BYU Cougars and Boise State Broncos. That has some serious implications. BYU wins that game and they’re very likely going undefeated this season.

They have stomped on everyone and just need a win to be taken seriously by New Year’s Six bowl committees. Besides Boise State, their schedule is fairly easy the rest of the way. San Diego State might be the most difficult challenge out of the remaining teams.

San Diego State isn’t a bad team at all, and could easily pull off a minor upset over BYU, though. If they beat Boise State, it’s certainly possible that the Cougars feel too good about themselves. Feeling good is one thing, but too much of something is never a good thing. San Diego State enters Friday with a record of 2-0 with wins over UNLV by a score of 34-6 and Utah State, 38-7.

Surely those aren’t the most difficult teams in the Mountain West. In fact, they’re probably two of the worst, but the San Diego State defense is for real. I’m also confident in Brady Hoke leading this team. Hoke has pretty much failed everywhere else he’s gone in his career. But earlier in his coaching career, Hoke was a hot commodity as he led the Aztecs to a lot of success.

Hoke parlayed that success into a contract with the Michigan Wolverines. Other than a Sugar Bowl win, Hoke didn’t have any success with Michigan after that one season. He did earn a lot of money at Michigan in his short tenure there, though. I think back in the Mountain West where there isn’t as much pressure, Hoke will likely have the Aztecs a major contender in the conference over the next several years.

San Jose State are 2-0 on the season as well. The Spartans have beaten Air Force by a score of 17-6 and New Mexico, 38-21. Again, these two teams are nothing special. Air Force is typically a tough opponent, but with a lot of players missing from their 2019 team, that’s not the same falcons team. Nevertheless, San Jose State has looked fine, and I’ve been impressed with their defense. Head below for our free San Jose State vs. San Diego State pick for November 6, 2020.

San Jose State Spartans vs. San Diego Aztecs NCAAF Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • San Jose St. +9.5 (-108)
  • SDSU -9.5 (-112)
Moneyline:

  • San Jose St. (+280)
  • SDSU (-350)
Total:

  • Over 48 (-110)
  • Under 48 (-110)

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San Jose State vs. San Diego State Prediction:

San Jose State needs to find a way to crack the San Diego State defense on Friday night. It’s true that San Diego State hasn’t played a real offense yet this season. However, they’ve been really good in that department for around a decade now. One thing is certain with San Diego State, you can depend on them to play solid defense and run the ball effectively. Brady Hoke wants to make this offense a little more dynamic than since he’s been there, but the Aztecs are going to be based around their defense and attack on the ground.

San Jose State will do their best to counter this tough defense with quarterback Nick Starkel. Starkel is coming off a strong performance against New Mexico, as he tossed 5 touchdowns with 467 yards passing. He has passed for 693 yards with 7 touchdowns and 1 interception on the season.

The Texas A&M and Arkansas transfer struggled in two seasons in Texas, then went to Arkansas where he couldn’t get anything going, and now he drops down to the Mountain West. Starkel threw for 7 touchdowns and 10 interceptions on 53.6% completions as a Razorback.

He’s diced up a couple of bad defenses, but he will face his first real test in the Mountain West on Friday. San Diego State are first in the nation with 200.5 yards conceded per game. They’ve given up just 109 yards per game through the air. It might be against two bad teams, but San Diego State was doing this last year as well. San Diego State finished fifth in the nation with 288.7 yards conceded per game.

They just need a little offensive pop to go along with their defense. Relying solely on defense isn’t going to get them a Mountain West Championship. Greg Bell has looked great on the ground for San Diego State. He has gained 268 yards on the ground for 6.5 yards per carry.

Sophomore Carson Baker, who is in his first season as the starter, has looked good as well. He’s passed for 300 yards and 3 touchdowns with no turnovers. His presence likely isn’t going to put the Aztecs over the top, but has looked more than fine to manage games and allow the run game to carry the load. Against an opponent like San Jose State, that’s likely enough for a comfortable win.

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The Bet
SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS -9.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.