San Jose State vs. San Diego State NCAAF Pick – Week 8

For what some people consider a bailout special in the last time slot for games, the San Jose State Spartans stay in California as they travel south to San Diego. If you are looking for a true bailout game, you might want to look to the Hawaii game at midnight, though. San Jose State are still searching for their first win of the season. With a record of 0-6, they are just trying to avoid going winless in 2018.

If we take a look at the rest of their schedule, the best chance for a win may come next week against UNLV. They welcome the Rebels at home in San Jose, so that’s likely going to be their only opening to a win. However, expect San Jose State to be an underdog regardless. The oddsmakers do not expect them to find a win in San Diego against the Aztecs. As four touchdown underdogs, it’d have to take a heck of an effort to spring a massive effort.

Absolutely no one would notice the upset other than people betting on the game. With the defense that San Diego State is going to throw at the Spartans, it’s going to be difficult for San Jose State to put together a game plan to pull off the upset. San Diego State don’t have many blowout wins this season, but who they’ve beaten counts for more than that.

The Aztecs have victories against Boise State, Arizona State, and won a close one against Air Force last week. An all instances, they denied their offenses from getting anything going. Arizona State scored 21 points, which is the most a team has scored other than the 38 Stanford put up in Week 1.

Their only loss on the year came against Stanford, 38-10. Since then they’ve given up just 17 points per game and gone 5-0. Meanwhile, San Jose State just got demolished by Army for a final score of 52-3. Their best game of the year was a 35-22 loss to Oregon.

The Ducks slept during that one, allowing San Jose State to cover the spread. The Spartans had to go to their backup QB, Josh Love, and things got ugly. They were outgained by 224 yards, a week after Colorado State outgained them by 106 yards. After failing to run down Army last week, they get another offense that will look to pound it down their throats Saturday night. Head below for our free San Jose State vs. San Diego State pick.

San Jose State Spartans vs. San Diego State Aztecs NCAAF Betting Odds:

San Jose State +27.5(-110)
vs. San Diego State -27.5(-110)

Over 42.5(-110)
Under 42.5(-110)

Betting odds provided by

San Jose State vs. San Diego State Pick:

San Jose State hope to avoid getting embarrassed for a fourth consecutive game. The Aztecs have blown the Spartans out of the water in the last four meetings, the latest a 52-7 win in favor of SDSU. They’ve beaten them by an average of 34.25 points in those four games.

The last time San Jose State tasted a victory against San Diego State was in 2012. A lot will have to go right for the Spartans, which includes hoping that their starting QB, Josh Love, can give it a go and start on Saturday night. Love is currently listed as questionable in concussion protocol, so it’s unlikely he is going to be able to play.

Montel Aaron would likely get the keys as the starter again if that’s the case. Aaron passed for 8 touchdowns and 10 interceptions a season ago as a sophomore. The junior has completed just 59.5 percent of his passes on 74 attempts in 2018. How Aaron would be able to generate yards against this Aztecs’ defense remains to be seen. You can take away the running game from helping out, because San Jose State are dead last in the country with 50.3 rushing yards per game. That makes for a pathetic 1.3 yards per carry, with their longest rush 23 yards on the year.

That especially isn’t going to work against a San Diego State defense who are giving up just 87.2 yards on the ground per game. It includes having to defend against teams who love to run the ball, like Stanford, Arizona State, Air Force, and Boise State. It’s just not going to go well for San Jose State in this respect. They can’t run the ball and then they’re going to be firing at will which looks like an inexperienced quarterback. San Jose State are allowing 473 yards per game for 115th in the FBS, along with 41.3 points for 125th, so don’t count on the defense to save them either. The hurt they suffered against Army is likely to continue in San Diego. A 38-7 or 42-10 win for San Diego State looks right to provide a cover on the four touchdowns.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.