Stanford Cardinal vs. Arizona State Sun Devils Pick – NCAAF Week 6

The Arizona State Sun Devils play host to the Stanford Cardinal at Sun Devil Stadium on Friday night. Stanford is coming off a big win last week at home against the Oregon Ducks. Faced with an impossible situation on the final drive of the game, Stanford pulled it off to score a touchdown on the final play to force overtime.

Stanford was bailed out by a couple of roughing the passer calls to keep the drive alive. Then they had one last opportunity with no time left on the clock because of a pass interference in the end zone. That allowed Tanner McKee one final chance to find a touchdown. Passing up the 2-point conversion for the win, Stanford went into overtime and beat the Ducks, 31-24.

McKee finished with 230 yards and 3 touchdowns in the most notable upset of the week. He didn’t throw an interception, which was the most important aspect of that win. McKee avoided the big mistake in the win. With the win, Stanford is going into the desert with a record of 3-2. They spurred an upset in Week 1 against the USC Trojans by a score of 42-28 as well.

Maybe the Cardinal are a better team than pre-season odds would have made you believe? It’s too early to say because Stanford didn’t look so hot in a 24-7 loss to Kansas State and UCLA 34-24. Even their win against a horrible Vanderbilt team, 41-23, wasn’t the most impressive look. That win against Oregon? Highly impressive.

Arizona State isn’t the team to take lightly, especially a road trip to Arizona State University. The Sun Devils are going into Friday night with a record of 4-1. If they beat BYU three weeks ago they’d be flirting with the top-10, though have to settle for No. 22 after a 42-23 win on the road at UCLA last week.

Herm Edwards had his team back on track following the loss against the Cougars. They responded impressively with a 35-13 win over Colorado State, and then most recently a 42-23 win over the Bruins. Jayden Daniels is coming on and has a defense to help him out. The Sun Devils are a well balanced team that is getting better. Head below for oru free Stanford vs. Arizona State pick on October 8, 2021.

Stanford Cardinal vs. Arizona State Sun Devils Live Odds and Betting History:

The following odds are courtesy of BetUS:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Stanford +13 (-110) +370 Over 51.5 (-110)
Arizona State -13 (-110) -470 Under 51.5 (-110)
Team Data Stanford Arizona State
Overall Record 3-2 4-1
ATS Record 3-2-0 2-3-0
Away/Home Record 2-0 3-0
ATS Away/Home 2-0-0 1-2-0
Points Per Game 29 34.4
Points Against Per Game 26.8 17.4
Passing Yards Per Game 233.8 239.4
Rushing Yards Per Game 115 204.2

Stanford vs. Arizona State Prediction:

Jayden Daniels was one of the most promising freshman quarterbacks in the country back in 2019. He passed for 2,943 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions on 60.7% passing. In limited action last year because of COVID, Daniels passed for 5 touchdowns and 1 interception on 58.3% passing.

He’s been a more effective runner this season, as Daniels has gained 293 yards on 7 yards per carry, but has failed to get off to a quick start through the air. Daniels has passed for 4 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 71.9% completions. He’s hitting more targets, but has completed only one more touchdown than interception.

The good news for the Sun Devils is that I think he’s shaking off the rust. He had that poor outing against BYU, but has stabilized nicely. In his most recent outing, Daniels threw for 286 yards with 2 touchdowns and 45 yards rushing. That’s a good performance on the road versus a decent UCLA squad.

Daniels doesn’t have to be spectacular with the Arizona State defense working so well. They’ve allowed 285 yards per game for 13th in the FBS. Their secondary has been a top-flight unit with 146.4 yards allowed through the air per game. Only six teams in the FBS have been better against the pass than the Sun Devils.

Stanford Cardinal vs. Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Trends:


  • 6-2-1 ATS in their previous nine games
  • 5-1-1 ATS in their previous seven games on the road
  • 5-1-1 ATS in their previous seven games versus the Pac-12
  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games after a win
  • 4-0 ATS in their previous four games versus a team with a winning record at home

Arizona State

  • 4-0 ATS in their previous four games versus the Pac-12
  • 5-1 ATS in their previous six games versus a team with a winning record on the road
  • 2-6 ATS in their previous eight games on a Friday
  • 1-4 ATS in their previous five games at Arizona State

Tanner McKee has been steady for the Cardinal in 2021. He’s passed for 1,093 yards, 11 touchdowns, and no interceptions on 64.5% completions. I don’t believe people expected the sophomore to come along so quickly after being used in a backup role last year. The first-year starter has been a quick learner.

However, is McKee mature enough to quickly get over the win over Oregon and focus on Arizona State? That’s where I think the scales could be tipped in this one. It’s going to be difficult for Stanford to put together the same performance in back-to-back weeks. They also needed two roughing the passer calls to get that game into overtime.

The underrated Arizona State defense should be the difference in this one. They should be able to get underneath McKee’s skin for the first time in his career. Daniels is likely to put together a solid performance, but McKee versus the Arizona State secondary will prove to be too much to overcome for the Cardinal. This looks like a big letdown spot for Stanford.


Stanford vs. Arizona State Pick