Stanford Cardinal vs. Cal Golden Bears NCAAF Week 14 Betting Odds:
vs. Cal +3(-103)
Betting odds provided by Sportsbetting.ag
Stanford vs. Cal Pick:
Stanford fended off UCLA last week in a wild 49-42 victory for the Cardinal. The offense was firing on all cylinders, with K.J. Costello torching the Bruins for 344 yards and 5 touchdowns. When him and Arcega-Whiteside get into a rhythm, they’re impossible to slow down. Costello connected with Arcega-Whiteside for 106 yards and 3 touchdowns. He also hit Trenton Irwin for 106 yards and a score. Love kept the defense honest with 85 yards on ground.
Love’s numbers are down, but Costello and the offense have been more dynamic through the air. Costello has thrown 28 touchdowns and 11 interceptions and has been on fire the last two weeks. He’s tossed 9 touchdowns and just 1 interception against Oregon State and UCLA. Costello heated up late last season as well, but that got to them the Pac-12 Championship, a game they barely lost to USC. The difference this season has been Bryce Love struggling and the defense giving up too many big plays.
Stanford ranks 19th in the FBS with 291.6 yards per game passing yards per game. They’ve had enough offense from Costello to be a better team, but unfortunately Love hasn’t been able to duplicate 2017 or 2016. Cal have gone from a pure offensive team to defense. Gone are the days of scoring 40 points a game and allowing 43 on defense. Wilcox has turned this team into what resembles more of a Big Ten team than Pac-12. They’re 113th in the nation with just 350 yards of offense per game. They’ve also scored 23.6 points per game compared to 30.2 for Stanford.
Chase Garbers has thrown 13 touchdowns and 5 interceptions for Cal. They do not have a passing game to go keep up with Costello if that’s what this game turns into. The Golden Bears have scored less than 20 points five times this season, so if they can’t exploit holes in the Stanford defense, it’s going to be all Cardinal in this game. I don’t see it being all Cardinal for 4 quarters, the Cal defense will offer some resistance. However, expect Stanford to pull away late for their ninth win a row against Cal on Saturday. Garbers isn’t going to be able to stay on pace in a 34-24 or 30-23 win for Stanford.