Super Bowl Spread – Early Packers vs Steelers Line

The moment we have been slowly working towards all season is almost upon us. After 17 weeks of regular season and three intriguing playoff weekends, the Super Bowl is mere days away. And what a match up it is. Two of the most complete teams in the league, and two teams that were pegged early on as potential finalists will meet as the Pittsburgh Steelers take on the Green Bay Packers in Dallas.

The Steelers managed to hold on narrowly defeat the New York Jets last Sunday. Pittsburgh looked to be on cruise control early on, coasting to a 24-0 head start before the Jets realized they should probably start trying to score some points. New York frantically attempted a comeback, but ultimately came up short, falling 24-19. While the Steelers certainly didn’t look all that impressive in the second half of the game, they played well enough in the first to secure a Super Bowl berth, and in the process Ben Roethlisberger improved his postseason record to an astounding 10-2.

Meanwhile, the Packers also had to fend off a frenzied comeback, as they escaped Chicago with a 21-14 win. The Packers did not seem nearly as dominant as they had in their previous two playoff wins, but nevertheless their defense held firm against three different Bears quarterbacks, and they were able to come away with a win.

Super Bowl Spread Comparison

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Betting Site
Steelers Spread
Packers Spread
Visit Site
Steelers +2.5 (-110)
Packers -2.5 (-110)
Steelers +2.5 (-110)
Packers -2.5 (-110)
Steelers +2.5 (-102)
Packers -2.5 (-108)
Steelers +2.5 (-110)
Packers -2.5 (-110)
Steelers +3 (-130)
Packers -3 (+110)

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Steelers vs Packers Early Spread: Packers -2.5 (-110)

Fans and bettors alike are having a difficult time picking a clear favorite in this game, and the early line is indicative of that. We can toss out regular season records and playoff seedings, this one is all about the match up, momentum and coaching. The current line does seem about right when all the factors are weighed, as Green Bay has a slightly more explosive offense, and both defenses are among the best in the league. The Steelers are well known for their shut-down run defense — just ask Shonn Greene and LaDainian Tomlinson if you don’t believe me. The fortunate thing for the Packers in a weird way is that they do not rely on a very strong rushing attack to help generate yardage and movement down the field. Yes, James Starks has emerged as a solid back through these playoffs, and should improve with a full offseason in which he is will come into camp as the number one back, but let us not pretend that he is among any sort of elite class of running back. He does provide some balance to Aaron Rodgers’ passing attack, which has allowed Rodgers to use some play action plays with great success during this postseason.

However, expect the Steelers to shut down Starks, and for the Packers to accept and even anticipate this. Pittsburgh is vulnerable in their secondary, and that is exactly where Green Bay shines offensively. Throw in the fact that Troy Polamalu, to my eyes, still doesn’t look quite right, and the Steelers may struggle to contain Rodgers and his crew of impressive wide receivers. For the Steelers, they have a quarterback who is just about impossible to take down. Roethlisberger is one of the best scrambling quarterbacks in the league, and can seemingly fend off 300 lb. defenders at will. This is a must for Pittsburgh, as the Packers are among the league leaders in sacks. If Roethlisberger can keep them at bay, that would be a big boon for Pittsburgh’s offensive hopes.

For all the talk of Rodgers and Roethlisberger, both teams have made it to the end on the strength of their defense. The Steelers can’t be run on, and the Packers have a very solid all-round defense who is capable of making big plays when the time comes. For further evidence, consider all of the key interceptions that Green Bay has made in their three playoff games thus far. One was in the end zone to halt a potential winning Michael Vick drive, while last week B.J. Raji’s pick six ended up being the difference in the game. While Big Ben is not known for throwing interceptions, he proved last week that he is certainly capable of doing so, and the Pack will be ready to pounce on any opportunities.

The line will most likely remain around its current incarnation. While the game total has already shifted a point and a half from its starting point, the Packers opened up as 2.5 favorites minutes after the Steelers secured their position in the big game, and that has not changed at most outlets. With that said, it is conceivable that it may shift by a half point closer to zero. The Steelers have a significant advantage as far as experience goes. Consider this: 17 players on Pittsburgh’s current 53 man roster have two Super Bowl rings, while the only member of the Green Bay Packers who owns a ring is fullback John Kuhn — a ring he ironically won with Pittsburgh. It is the intangibles such as this that may help shift the line by half a point or so in the Steelers’ direction.

Another factor working in their favor is that Mike Tomlin is generally considered to be a better in-game coach than Mike McCarthy, who has been faulted for his clock management in the past. Although most will agree that Green Bay may have the slight edge in overall talent, the assortment of finer details may help to adjust the line ever so slightly. So with that said, if you are betting the spread on the side of Green Bay, it may be wiser to wait until closer to game day, while a bet being laid on Pittsburgh should be made as soon as possible. However, it would not be a great shock if the line remained the same for most betting sites, as this is shaping up to be one the most even, and therefore most exciting, Super Bowl match ups in recent memory. Kickoff can’t come soon enough.

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