TCU (3-3) at West Virginia (4-3)
This matchup, of course, was new to the Big 12 as the Mountaineers hold a 5-4 lead overall. It is even at 2-2 in both Morgantown and Fort Worth. The first three games in the Big 12 were decided on the game’s last play as two were in overtime. The differentiating game was the 1984 BlueBonnet Bowl where West Virginia took a 31-14 victory. The Mountaineers have won three out of the last four, including a 20-17 decision at TCU last season.
Vs. The Spread
The Horned Frogs check in at 4-3 ATS as WVU is 4-2-1. TCU is 1-6 in it’s last seven games against the Mountaineers and also a paltry 1-6 SU in their last seven as an underdog.
West Virginia is 5-1 SU in their last six games when playing as a favorite as the under has been the play in eight of the Mountaineers’ last 12 and five of the last six vs. TCU.
|Teams||Spread||Money Line||Total Points|
|TCU||+3 (-110)||+125||O 45 (-110)|
|West Virginia||-3 (-110)||-145||U 45 (-110)|
Quarterback Max Duggan ran for three touchdowns and the last as an 81-yard jaunt as TCU drove past Texas Tech, 34-18. The Horned Frogs rushed for 270 yards as Duggan carried 19 times for 154 yards and the three scores.
West Virginia dropped a 17-13 decision at Texas where the Longhorns held the Mountaineers on downs at the 16 and 8-yard line on the game’s final two possessions. The rushing statistics told the game’s story as Texas carried 36 times for 179 yards and the Mountaineers were at 26 carries for only 43 yards.
When TCU has the Ball
Duggan is on the Mountaineers’ radar concerning the running game. He is very efficient as he leads TCU in rushing with 329 yards and six touchdowns and has only one interception in his last 150 passes. TCU looks for Taye Diggs and Quentin Johnson to make big plays in the passing game although this is a run-oriented scheme. WVU is ranked sixth in the nation in total defense as the ‘Eers give up only 281 yards per game and have nine interceptions. Tony Fields, II, is all over the field at linebacker for WVU as he leads with 65 tackles.
When West Virginia has the Ball
The Horned Frogs’ pass rush will be important against Mountaineers quarterback Garrett Doege, who has completed 65.4 percent of his passes with 11 touchdowns and three interceptions. Winston Wright and Bryce Ford-Wheaton are the stalwarts of the pass offense as Ford-Wheaton stretches the field with 16.2 yards per catch. T.J. Simmons is another speedster in the arsenal. The Horned Frogs’ pass rush has come alive with 10 sacks in the last two games while totaling five in the first four outings. Over the last two games, TCU has forced it’s opponents to a 3-and-out on 16 of 30 possessions.
Winner: West Virginia (-3) 26, TCU 17
Over-Under: Take Under 45