TCU vs. Oregon Alamo Bowl Pick – Jan 2nd

The TCU Horned Frogs enter the Alamo Bowl shorthanded as quarterback Trevone Boyin decided to go and get arrested so they’ll be without their leading signal caller. The BIG 12 has been getting destroyed in bowl games lately, so it will be up to Oregon to keep that up. The Ducks have been one of the hottest teams in college football and were worthy of a top 4 spot. I would have liked Oregon there instead of Oklahoma given that game. Or even, Oregon instead of Michigan State. The BIG 12 was looking alright early, but in these important bowl games they have failed to show up. I don’t see the Alamo Bowl as one of the bigger bowl games, but matchup wise, TCU vs. Oregon it looks like a big game. If Boykin didn’t get injured and wasn’t a moron they may have been playing in a bigger game. He was selfish in the move, which will undoubtedly cost him down the road at the NFL Draft. We will see if Oregon can take advantage of TCU in the Alamo Bowl.

Vernon Adams doesn’t get injured, I think you’d be seeing them in a better bowl game. Swap out Oklahoma State and give Oregon the Sugar Bowl and we would have had a nice matchup. If Boykin was healthy though, I’m sure this would be a good game as well. Maybe it will still be a good game. TCU will need to reach deep in the bag of tricks to keep up with Oregon, because I think their offense will be able to move the ball. Oregon is a dynamic offense that will find ways to find the end zone on TCU. The question is if the Horned Frogs are going to be able to keep pace.
The defense has been the only vulnerability to Oregon. They did give up 42 points to Oregon State in their last game of the season. However, the offense has been so potent that they haven’t had to rely on the defense so much. The Horned Frogs were able to knock off Baylor in a rain soaked battle. Baylor was down to the third stringer and Boykin and TCU were able to eek out the win. They haven’t had a good win since October 29th, a 40-10 win over West Virginia. Since then, they barely beat a dreadful Kansas tam 23-17 and then got by a third string Baylor team in a crapshoot game in the rain. TCU will face a test today, against a healthy Vernon Adams.

TCU Horned Frogs vs. Oregon Ducks Alamo Bowl Betting Odds:

TCU +7(-110)
vs. Oregon -7(-110)

Over 74.5(-110)
Under 74.5(-110)

Odds provided by

TCU vs. Oregon Pick:

Oregon should be treating this as a statement game. Send TCU reeling and blow TCU out and they will get some respect. It would be well deserved, because Oregon has been playing great football since Vernon Adams has returned. The Ducks have averaged 45 points per game since his return. Adams threw for 21 touchdowns and just 4 interceptions since week 7. In total he passed for 25 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Adams is a weapon passing, and the Ducks also have a weapon running the football on the ground. When Royce Freeman gets on a roll he is nearly impossible to slow down. In a class featuring a ton of good running backs, Freeman is another great one. He rushed for 1706 yards and 14 touchdowns. He also had 325 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns in the passing game. Oregon scored 43.2 points per game this season. The defense allowed 36.8, so it doesn’t take much to understand why they didn’t get a better bowl game.

Oregon is lining up into a weakness of TCU. The Horned Frogs have had difficulty defending the run this season, and while you may think Oregon is this pass heavy team, they can run the ball extremely well with Royce Freeman. The Ducks average 287.9 rushing yards per game while the Horned Frogs are allowing 183 yards on the ground. Oregon can be exploited through the air, but without Boykin at such short notice, I’m not sure about that. I see Oregon wearing TCU down and taking a comfortable 43-30 win or so.

PICK: OREGON -7 (-110)

Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.