One of the top matchups in the Big 12 for week ten of the 2011 college football season features a Saturday afternoon (3:30pm ET) game with the Aggies of Texas A&M (5-3) traveling to Norman, OK to face the 11th ranked Oklahoma Sooners (7-1). A&M lost last week at home against Missouri by a score of 38-31 in a game in which they were favored by 10.5 points going in. Oklahoma rebounded from their 41-38 upset loss at Texas Tech two weeks ago with a 58-17 stomping of Kansas St. on the road, easily covering the 13 point line. A&M is 2-6 ATS this season, while Oklahoma is 5-3 ATS.
The Aggies possess a great deal of firepower on offense with quarterback Ryan Tannehill (2,322 yards passing, 18 TDs, 7 INTs) at the controls, ranking 13th among FBS teams with an average of 39.2 points per game scored and 7th in total offense with an average of 519.8 yards per game. Defense is where A&M has struggled this season, allowing 27 PPG (66th among FBS teams) and 432.6 YPG (91st among FBS teams). Oklahoma has one of the most dynamic offenses in the country with quarterback Landry Jones (3,084 yards passing, 26 TDs, 9 INTs) and receiver Ryan Broyles (81 receptions, 1,079 yards and 10 TDs) forming maybe the top QB-receiver combo in all of college football. The OU offense will be hurt by the loss of running back Dominique Whaley to a broken ankle last week, but should still be close to the unit that has averaged 46 PPG (5th in the nation) this season.
Texas A&M vs. Oklahoma Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Texas A&M Aggies +14
@Oklahoma Sooners -14
Over 68.5 (-110)
Under 68.5 (-110)
Betting odds taken from BetOnline.com
Texas A&M vs. Oklahoma Pick:
Texas A&M is 20-41-1 ATS in their last 62 road games and 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog. Oklahoma is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a winning record and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The over is 35-15-1 in the Aggies’ last 51 road games and 21-10-1 in their last 32 Big 12 games. The over is 5-1 in the Sooners’ last 6 games overall and the under is 15-7 in their last 22 games on grass. In head-to-head play, the home team is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 meetings, and the over is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings between the two teams. Oklahoma won seven straight against A&M until the Aggies ended the streak last season with a 33-19 win at home in which they were 4.5 point underdogs.
Landry Jones and the OU offense, which ranks second in the nation in passing offense with 396.6 YPG, should have a field day with an A&M secondary that ranks 120th in the country with an astounding 318.2 YPG allowed through the air. Defensively OU has been solid with an average of 19.1 PPG allowed (20th in the nation), but the Sooners are only middle-of-the pack when it comes to defending the pass at 214.6 YPG allowed so A&M could have some success through the air with quarterback Ryan Tannehill, who leads a passing attack that ranks 15th in the nation with 295.2 YPG through the air. In the two meetings between OU and A&M prior to last season’s upset victory for A&M, the Sooners hung 65 (at home in 2009) and 66 points respectively on the Aggies. A&M has struggled on defense this season, but OU will not hang quite that many points on the Aggies in Norman this season. The over has come for all three of the Sooners home games this season and the bet here is that with two very prolific offenses on display it will come in again here. Take the over in this one as the footballs will be flying through the air in Norman.