Texas A&M vs. West Virginia – CFB Bowl Game

The 2014 bowl season rolls on with a Monday afternoon (1:00 pm ET) game featuring the Texas A&M Aggies (7-5) of the SEC and the West Virginia Mountaineers(7-5) of the Big 12 in the Liberty Bowl from Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium in Memphis, Tennessee. The Aggies lost their final two regular season games to Missouri 34-27 and LSU 23-17 at home. The Mountaineers won their regular season finale over Iowa St. 37-24 on the road, that ended a three-game losing streak that saw them drop games to conference rivals TCU (31-30), Texas (33-16) and Kansas St. (26-20).

Texas A&M is ranked 28th nationally in scoring offense with an average of 34.4 points per game and 31st among FBS teams in total offense with 449.3 yards per contest. The Aggies rank 72nd nationally in points allowed with 27.3 per game and 102nd in total defense 442 YPG allowed.

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West Virginia is ranked 35th nationally in scoring offense with an average of 33.2 PPG scored
and 11th among FBS teams in total offense with 502.1 YPG. The Mountaineers rank 59th nationally in points allowed with 26.2 per game and 57th in total defense 388.6 YPG allowed.

Texas A&M vs. West Virginia Spread, Line and Betting Odds:

Texas A&M Aggies +1.5
@ West Virginia Mountaineers -1.5

Game Total:
Over 65.5 (-110)
Under 65.5 (-110)

Betting odds taken from Bovada.lv

Texas A&M vs West Virginia Pick

The Aggies are 9-24 ATS in their last 33 games against a team with a winning record, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 bowl games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Mountaineers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games on fieldturf. The Under is 5-2 in the Aggies’ last 7 non-conference games, 7-3 in their last 10 neutral site games and 4-1 in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. The Under is 6-2 in the Mountaineers’ last 8 non-conference games, 4-0 in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record and 7-0 in their last 7 games on fieldturf.

Texas A&M has been a streaky team this season, roaring out to a 5-0 start before a three-game losing streak that saw them drop games to SEC rivals Mississippi St. (48-31), Ole Miss (35-20) and Alabama (59-0) in blowout fashion. Both teams feature fast-paced, passing -oriented offensive attacks under two head coaches who know each other very well in A&M’s Kevin Sumlin and West Virginia’s Dana Hologorsen. The Mountaineers with 314.6 YPG and Texas A&M with 306.4 YPG rank in the top 12 nationally in average passing yards, and there should be ample opportunity for both signal callers Aggie freshman Kyle Allen and Clint Trickett to have success against less than impressive defenses. A&M in particular has had trouble defensively against the better teams on their schedule.

Neither team has shown consistency this season, which is why they find themselves in a second tier bowl game. They have both faced tough schedules, but faded down the stretch. The two teams were both much more explosive earlier in the season, and the Aggies in particular have been less explosive since Allen took over under center for Kenny Hill. Neither team has had a stellar record against the spread, and the most obvious trend points to the Under as the play to make here. With two teams that have struggled of late playing against defenses that are used to seeing a fast pace of play from their opposing offense, the Under is the play here.

PICK= Under 65.5