Texas State Bobcats vs. BYU Cougars Pick – NCAAF Week 8

The Texas State Bobcats are in Provo for a meeting with the BYU Cougars on Saturday night. Every game is important for BYU at this point. They can’t afford to take any team lightly. BYU does not have the most difficult schedule. With a record of 5-0, BYU has a realistic path to going undefeated in 2020.

They are not going to the College Football Playoff, but there is a possibility that BYU makes it to a New Year’s Six Bowl. They will have to run the tables, though. A couple of close calls against inferior competition, like say Texas State, could hurt their resume.

BYU’s toughest game left on the schedule is Boise State on the road on the blue turf on November 6. That’s the game to circle for the Cougars. Otherwise, BYU is expected to win easily against Texas State, Western Kentucky, North Alabama, and San Diego State.

If they figure out a new date to play Army, which was postponed on September 19, then the Black Knights will give them a big battle. No date has been set, though, and who knows if they end up fitting it in. A win over Army would help BYU’s case for a New Year’s Six Bowl.

They have to keep their composure and focus on the task at hand in front of them on a week-to-week basis. Coming out and saying things like we’ll play anyone who wants this smoke probably isn’t the attitude they want right now. The best team they’ve beaten so far is the Houston Cougars, which was last week on the road at Houston in an impressive 43-26 showing.

BYU can’t allow that win to get to their heads or they might be involved in a closer game than they imagined against Texas State on Saturday night. Their four other wins have been versus Navy, Troy, Louisiana Tech, and UTSA, so let’s slow down on the trash talk. It’s good to be confident, but BYU must focus on what’s ahead of them.

The Bobcats have upset on their minds in Provo on Saturday evening. It’s not going to be easy, but they’ve come close before. Despite a record of 1-5, Texas State has been competitive and they could easily be a .500 team or better right now. A few bounces didn’t go their way and they go to BYU with a record of 1-5 instead of something more attractive. Head below for our free Texas State vs. BYU pick for October 24, 2020.

Texas State Bobcats vs. BYU Cougars NCAAF Betting Odds:


  • Texas State +28.5 (-107)
  • BYU -28.5 (-113)

  • Texas State (+1550)
  • BYU (+5000)

  • Over 60 (-115)
  • Under 60 (-105)


Texas State vs. BYU Prediction:

Texas State has some confidence going into this one. Confidence in the sense that they know they can hang around and give good teams a big fight. In their first game of the season, the Bobcats came close in a 31-24 loss against the SMU Mustangs. SMU is an undefeated ranked team. That was not a bad effort at all by the Bobcats, who just about pulled off the upset. In another close call against a superior opponent, Texas State lost by a field goal against Boston College on September 26 in Boston.

In both instances, Texas State looked pretty excited to be playing SMU and Boston College. They were motivated to put on a good show versus two schools they knew had more talent. Texas State, and everyone else for that matter, has been hearing about the hype surrounding the BYU football program. If they found motivation to play SMU and BC, then I’m sure that the Bobcats are going to be motivated to travel to Provo to play the undefeated Cougars for this contest.

In another close call this season, Texas State was cut down in overtime by a score of 51-48 in double overtime in their second game. Note that BYU were nearly upset by UTSA on October 10. UTSA brought the energy in that game and BYU were caught off guard. If the Bobcats want to play tonight, and I think they will, then they should at least be able to keep this somewhat of a competitive game.

Brady McBride has been in solid enough form for the Bobcats at quarterback. The former Memphis Tiger has passed for 6 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 61% completions. McBride will have to be able to move the ball on BYU if there’s going to be a major upset. I don’t foresee a major upset, but McBride should be able to do enough to allow the defense to hang strong. He’s not going to keep pace with Zach Wilson and the Cougars, though this is a lot of points.

The Bobcats have allowed an average of 30 points per game in regulation this season. This is against some fairly decent competition as well, including the Mustangs, who are in the top-5 in the FBS offensively. I’m not expecting Texas State to limit Wilson and the BYU run game completely, but perhaps enough to prevent them from going up and down the field at will. I have BYU 44-21 here, which gives Texas State room for a cover.


The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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