Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas Jayhawks Pick – NCAAF Week 7

The Texas Tech Red Raiders continue their Big 12 slate in Lawrence, Kansas. The Kansas Jayhawks will welcome the Red Raiders to David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium. Kansas is looking for their second win this season after a 59-7 loss against the Iowa State Cyclones last week.

Since barely making it past South Dakota in Week 1, 17-14, this has been tough for Kansas. What else is new with the Jayhawks? Kansas hasn’t had much of a football program since Mark Mangino was forced out over a decade ago. It’s crazy to think that Kansas won the Orange Bowl and finished 11-1 in 2008.

The Jayhawks went into the garbage basket not too long after that memorable season in Lawrence. Les Miles was hired to bring life to the program, but yeah, that didn’t work out well. The latest head coach that is assigned the tough job of putting Kansas back on the map is Lance Leipold.

If only recruiting was as easy for Leipold as it is for the basketball program. Attracting top talent to come to Lawrence on the football field is tough, so finding graduate transfers could be the quickest way to get Kansas going. Leipold brought in North Texas transfer Jason Bean to Kansas, but this is a guy that was struggling to stay on the field at North Texas.

I know that the Big 12 isn’t putting the best defenses on the field. However, this has been a big step up from what he experienced at North Texas. On a team at Kansas with no talent no less. In any case, the Jayhawks should have some form of confidence after nearly pulling off an upset in Lubbock last year.

Kansas brought Texas Tech to the wire, as the Red Raiders held on for a 16-13 win. Texas Tech is going into Saturday with a record of 4-2. They are coming off a 52-31 loss against an average TCU squad two weeks back before their bye week. That’s some ugly work from a Texas Tech defense that has gotten worked at times this season. Head below for our free Texas Tech vs. Kansas pick on October 16, 2021.

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas Jayhawks Live Odds and Betting History:

The following odds are courtesy of BetUS:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Texas Tech Red Raiders -17.5 (-110) -850 Over 68 (-110)
Kansas Jayhawks +17.5 (-110) +580 Under 68 (-110)
Team Data Texas Tech Red Raiders Kansas Jayhawks
Overall Record 4-2 1-4
ATS Record 3-3-0 0-5-0
Away/Home Record 1-1 1-1
ATS Away/Home 1-1-0 0-2-0
Points Per Game 34.8 17.2
Points Against Per Game 34.3 43.8
Passing Yards Per Game 302.3 256.2
Rushing Yards Per Game 155.7 154.4

Texas Tech vs. Kansas Prediction:

This Texas Tech defense may not be as bad as the defense that Patrick Mahomes had to work with when he was in college, but this is a unit that is trending closer in that direction than the other way. The Red Raiders are coming off a 52-31 drubbing versus the Horned Frogs.

TCU hasn’t had an offense worth much in quite some time, but they made it look easy versus the Red Raiders. Kendre Miller and Zach Evans ran for a mile with 143 and 185 yards.

Miller had 3 touchdowns, while Evans chipped in with 2 touchdowns. Tough look for Kansas who are close to last in the FBS defensively.

The Jayhawks have conceded 493.8 yards and 43.8 points per game. That equates to nearly the worst defense in the country.

Texas Tech should have a much easier time moving the ball on Kansas this year. SaRodorick Thompson likely beats Kansas for a lot of yards in this one. The leading rusher is going to have room to run.

Thompson has gained 213 yards on 4.6 yards per carry. He is coming off a big showing for 118 yards and 3 touchdowns on the ground. As a receiver, Thompson had 79 yards on 2 receptions. Look for Thompson to do big damage against a hapless Kansas defense.


Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas Jayhawks Betting Trends:

Texas Tech

  • 13-1 overall in their previous 14 games versus Kansas
  • 8-1 overall in their previous nine games versus Kansas on the road
  • 1-12 overall in their previous 13 games on the road
  • 8-4 ATS in their previous 12 games versus Kansas
  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games after failing to cover the spread

Kansas

  • 5-16 ATS in their previous 21 games as an underdog
  • 6-20 ATS in their previous 26 games
  • 3-13 ATS in their previous 16 games after failing to cover the spread
  • 1-11 ATS in their previous 12 games versus the Big 12
  • 2-14 ATS in their previous 16 games after a bye week

Texas Tech’s defense isn’t up to average standards, but considerably better than Kansas. They’ve allowed 405.3 yards per game for 85th in the country, while Kansas is 127th in that regard.

The Red Raiders have been okay against the pass with 240.8 yards allowed per game. The same goes for defending the run, with 164.5 yards allowed per game.

Texas and TCU ran up the points on their defense, but held up well against bad offenses. West Virginia scored just 20 points, and FIU scored 21 points earlier in the year.

I’d put the West Virginia offense in a much higher class than Jason Bean’s offense. Bean has passed for 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 55.9% completions.

Kansas has averaged 336 yards and just 17.2 points per game. Their best offensive output was 33 points in a 52-33 loss against Duke. Despite scoring 33 points, they still didn’t come close because of the defensive liability.

Take out that game and the Jayhawks have scored only 13.25 points per game. Texas Tech will have holes on defense, but I don’t have confidence in the Jayhawks taking advantage. The Red Raiders by 48-21 looks right in Lawrence.

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Texas Tech vs. Kansas Pick
TEXAS TECH -17.5