Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma NCAAF Pick – Week 5

The Texas Tech Red Raiders and Oklahoma Sooners will meet for an early afternoon matchup in Norman. This is the Big 12 opener for both schools, so things are going to get a little more important now. Oklahoma are coming off a blowout win over the UCLA Bruins, while Texas Tech were on a bye last week. That was following a poor performance against Arizona in Tucson. Texas Tech did not come ready to play.

That goes for the coaching staff and players on the field. Notably, offensive coordinator, David Yost, really called a head scratcher of a game. A guy known for being unique, did nothing out of the ordinary against Arizona. The Wildcats were prepared for everything thrown their way. T.J. Vasher, Texas Tech’s standout wide receiver, is the only guy who was there to play football. Quarterback Alan Bowman wasn’t hitting anything, either. Even balls he just had to throw up and let his receivers go up and fight for were way off. It could have very well been because of a bum shoulder.

Vasher is a magnet and towers over defensive backs. Missing him is tough, but Bowman wasn’t coming to close most of the time. Yost, Bowman, and the entire Texas Tech team had the week off to get the Arizona game out of their system and prepare for the Sooners. If there’s any week to have bye, the best time has to be before having to play Oklahoma. Bowman may have several weeks to think about that game, though, because he’s out with a shoulder injury.

That gives Texas Tech an extra week to get ready for Jalen Hurts. If it will help remains to be seen. I don’t think you can prepare for Hurts, but getting their offense straight after a shoddy performance against a mediocre Arizona defense is important. Oklahoma can put points up on any defense. They’ve proven that they can give Alabama issues as well, and the Crimson Tide had time to prepare, so Lincoln Riley knows how to draw up a game plan offensively. That was with Kyler Murray, but Hurts is making it look just as easy at the controls. The Red Raiders will have their hands full. Head below for our free Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma pick.

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Oklahoma Sooners NCAAF Week 5 Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Texas Tech +27.5(-110)
  • Oklahoma -27.5(-110)

Total:

  • Over 70.5(-110)
  • Under 70.5(-110)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma Pick:

Texas Tech are going to need a fantastic game out of their backup quarterback in this one. The entire team had awful body language from the get-go. No one looked like they wanted to be in the desert. Maybe it was the heat, but it isn’t like the Red Raiders aren’t used to heat in Lubbock.

Coming off a bye and a trip to Norman in store this week, it’s hard to believe that Texas Tech are not going to be into this game. They’re getting zero respect with the point spread at 27.5, and I’d be surprised if head coach Matt Wells comes into this one without motivating his team. Wells is a good coach, but we certainly didn’t see that on display two weeks ago.

Bowman has thrown for 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 65.6% completions. Last season he passed for 17 touchdowns and 7 interceptions as a freshman before having to exit with a collapsed lung. This was a big season for Bowman and we can’t really say yet one way or the other about how good or bad he is. Now we’re going to have to wait some more, as he continues to be an injury prone player young in his career.

There hasn’t been an official statement regarding who will start this week in Norman, but expect Jett Duffey and Jackson Tyner. Duffey has starting experience and played a pretty good game last year against Texas. His main problem has been turnovers. That includes failing to protect the ball when he runs and he runs a lot.

Duffey is a speedster who will take off with the ball in his hands. Jackson and Duffey are both dual-threat QB’s, so this does give Oklahoma something to prepare for that they didn’t have with Bowman. Bowman is a statue in the pocket. Preparing for two quarterbacks can prove to be a bit difficult. And after that poor game plan last week, look for OC David Yost to call a better game. He’s going to have to attack because Hurts and Oklahoma are going to score.

The Sooners enter 2nd in the FBS with 55.7 points scored per game. Hurts has been throttling defenses at a rate of 880 yards and 9 touchdowns with no interceptions. Hurts has also rushed for 373 yards and 4 touchdowns on the ground. Oklahoma haven’t played much of a defense yet, but Texas Tech don’t have a unit to slow down the Sooners. Expect a 52-28 or thereabout to put this matchup OVER the total on Saturday afternoon. With the news of Bowman being out, a total in the low 70’s provides some value.

The Bet
OVER 70.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.