The Oklahoma Sooners host the Texas Tech Red Raiders in a meeting of two high powered offenses. The Sooners are going to have one bad game on their resume that isn’t going to go away. They didn’t just lose, but Texas was controlling that game from the start to the end, it was clear who the better team was on that day. Maybe five years ago that wouldn’t have been a bad loss, as Texas actually had a pretty good team then. Since playing in the National Championship game against Alabama in 2010 with Colt McCoy, the University of Texas have been irrelevant in the BIG 12. Fellow in-state schools like TCU, Baylor and, even Texas Tech have surpassed them the last few seasons. No longer is it a rite-of-passage to go to Texas if you’re a top recruit in the state. Point is here, Oklahoma had a major lapse against Texas earlier in the year. Not only with regards to it being a rivalry game, but if they won they would have been right up there in the top 5 in the rankings. With the 24-17 loss the Longhorns, the Sooners see themselves as the 15th best team in the country.
Oklahoma was clearly a little ticked off last week, as they followed the Texas loss up with a 55-0 win over Kansas State. The offense was on full display with Baker Mayfield carving the KSU secondary up. Mayfield ultimately finished with 5 touchdowns and 282 yards passing with no interceptions. It’s been that kind of year for the third year quarterback, who is actually facing his old school in this matchup. After getting bounced around as a starter and the bench at Texas Tech as a freshman, Mayfield transferred to Oklahoma last season. He had to sit out a year as a transfer student. Mayfield has been making up for lost time with an epic year that features a 19:3 touchdown to interception ratio. I suspect he isn’t going to take it light on his old school. Thinking how I was when I was 20 years old, if I were him, I would have loved to stick it to my old team who obviously didn’t believe in him much. He and receiver Sterling Shepard are going to be in for a big game.
Mayfield walking wasn’t really the worst thing that could have happened to both parties, though. Texas Tech have a dynamic quarterback in their stable that is perfect for the Red Raider air-raid offense. Sophomore Pat Mahomes has found a home at Texas Tech and I don’t see him opting out like Mayfield did. The keys to the car are his he has made the most of it. Mahomes has passed for a gaudy 2618 yards with 20 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Texas Tech were a deflected ball falling to the ground away from defeating TCU so it isn’t like they haven’t had success. Blink and you’ll miss them score. Find my pick below.
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Oklahoma Sooners College Football Pick
Texas Tech +14(-110)
Odds provided by Bovada.lv
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma Pick:
Were the Red Raiders caught looking ahead last weekend? Sure looked that way against the Kansas Jayhawks. Texas Tech ended up winning 30-20 but it wasn’t without having to push back against a decent effort from the Jayhawks, who have gone years with a win in the BIG 12. Wasn’t too long ago that Kansas was playing in the Orange Bowl, now they can’t even win a game. They were probably looking ahead to this one against the Sooners, where they find themselves as big underdogs at 14. To have a chance to win this game, they are going to have to do what they did against TCU, which is score almost every time they have the ball essentially. I would say the defense has to be better, which is of course true, but I don’t know if they have the talent to slow the Oklahoma offense down. The defense is allowing 32.9 points against in 2015.
However, that Texas Tech offense can pile it on a hurry. And it isn’t just the passing game that can make it work, the running game is averaging 293 yards on the ground along with the 427 yards per game via the passing game. The Red Raiders are averaging 53.4 points per game. Combined with Oklahoma’s 40 points per game, these two teams average 93.4 points between themselves. Looking at the spread in this matchup I’m not so sure. Laying 15 points on a team playing against one that can score with the best of them in the country looks scary to me. I do like Oklahoma to hit around 50 in this game, though. This matchup should lend itself to a high scoring affair in Norman.
PICK: OVER 72.5 POINTS (-110)