Toledo Rockets vs. Western Michigan Broncos Pick – NCAAF Week 11

In the Game of the Week in the MAC, the Toledo Rockies are in Kalamazoo, Michigan for a crucial meeting in the conference on Wednesday night. The winner of this game could be going to the MAC Championship. Toledo and Northern Illinois both play in the MAC West, so the stakes are high in this contest. Both teams are coming off impressive performances in Week 1 of the MAC. Toledo was in full control of Bowling Green for a 38-3 win, while Western Michigan handled Akron for a 58-13 win.

What can we take from those two wins? Both teams were in good form, but their opponents were the worst teams in the MAC. Akron and Bowling Green are easily the worst in the conference. We don’t know a whole lot yet, but Toledo and Western Michigan are certainly worthy of going to the MAC Championship. Ball State might be the one team that can stop them, but with their defense, I’m not so sure my confidence is that high.

The Rockets didn’t need to do anything exotic to bounce the Falcons by a score of 38-3 last week. Eli Peters threw for 214 yards and 4 touchdowns, and Shakif Seymour had a strong game rushing the ball with 93 yards on 7.2 yards per carry and a score on 13 carries. Toledo is one of the more well-balanced teams in the MAC. In all three aspects of their game through the air, ground, and defense, the Rockets are well versed in beating the opposition.

All systems were a go for Western Michigan in Week 1 of the MAC as well. Akron never stood a chance against the Broncos. They were toyed with by a score of 58-13. Kaleb Eleby was in control under center for Western Michigan, as he threw for 262 yards and 3 touchdowns on 12 for 16 passing. There wasn’t much required from either quarterback last week, but that’s going to change on Wednesday evening. This should be a good contest that comes down to Peters and Eleby avoiding the critical mistake. Head below for our free Toledo vs. Western Michigan pick for November 11, 2020.

Toledo Rockets vs. Western Michigan Broncos NCAAF Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Toledo +3 (-110)
  • Western Michigan -3 (-110)
Moneyline:

  • Toledo +135
  • Western Michigan -155
Total:

  • Over 58.5 (-110)
  • Under 58.5 (-110)

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Toledo vs. Western Michigan Prediction:

The Rockets were a team that was expected to win the MAC last season. They underperformed by a lot, though. Thanks to injuries and sloppy play, Toledo stumbled down the stretch after starting off well. They won six games, but were not invited to a bowl because of their poor results in October and December.

Eli Peters is back at quarterback after throwing for 18 touchdowns and 7 interceptions as a freshman in 2018. He was only able to pass for 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions a season ago after going down. Peters is off to a fast start this season after tossing 4 touchdowns in the season opener.

It helps when Peters has a running back in the backfield like Shakif Seymour. Seymour is off to a fast start as well. He gained 93 yards on 7.3 yards per carry against Bowling Green. In his four-year career, Seymour has averaged more than 5 yards per carry on the ground. Bryant Koback is also a major threat to worry about in the backfield. If Akron had any success to speak of against Western Michigan it was running the football.

Jeremiah Knight ran for 74 yards on 6.7 yards per carry, and Teon Dollard gained 67 yards on 4.2 yards per carry for the Zips. The Broncos had this same problem last year, and it doesn’t seem to be fixed just yet. They conceded 186.5 rushing yards per game. Toledo had issues last season as well, but they were severely banged up all over the field. I expect them to get back on track defensively, and it was a good performance versus Bowling Green to open the year. You have to like the points in a game that should be close in the fourth.

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The Bet
TOLEDO ROCKETS +3
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.