USC vs. Oregon State NCAAF Pick – Week 10

USC Trojans’ head coach, Clay Helton, may be on borrowed time as the boss on the sidelines in Pasadena. Following a 38-35 loss to Arizona State last week, drastic changes were made with Tee Martin relieved of his duties as offensive coordinator of the Trojans. The problems at USC go deeper than that, but I never cared for Martin as an offensive coordinator. Sam Darnold did a good job of disguising his inefficiencies as a play caller.

The deeper problem here likely goes back to the head coach, though. He can shuffle the chairs around, but the ship might be going down anyway. If Helton doesn’t find a hot run in the next month, it’s hard to believe that he is going to be back as the head coach at USC.

Helton just looked kind of clueless on the sidelines on too many occasions. USC have lost their last two games by scores of 41-28 against Utah and 38-35 against Arizona State. The loss in California to Arizona State was the final straw for the .500 Trojans. With the athletes that they recruit, USC shouldn’t be getting pushed around against average Pac-12 schools.

USC needs to find their Tom Herman. The Trojans and Longhorns were sitting atop the college football about a decade ago, but times have changed. USC won the Pac-12 last season, but it’s a school who wants to be competing for National Championships.

The USC coaching staff will be happy to know that their starting quarterback, JT Daniels, will be back in the saddle against Oregon State. This line opened around 14 and shot up to 17 after the news of Daniels playing was revealed. Daniels is only a freshman, and has plenty of room to grow, but he has shown some nice touch. His deep ball could need some work in the offseason, though that will likely develop with more time and continuity with his receivers. Head below for our free USC vs. Oregon State pick.

USC Trojans vs. Oregon State Beavers NCAAF Betting Odds:

USC -16(-110)
vs. Oregon State +16(-110)

Over 61.5(-110)
Under 61.5(-110)

Betting odds provided by

USC vs. Oregon State Pick:

While USC were frustrated last week against Arizona State, Oregon State on the other hand were celebrating one of their biggest win in years. They staged an incredible comeback to defeat the Colorado Buffaloes in overtime, 41-34. It gave the Beavers just their 2nd win of the year, but most importantly, it was a marquee win, something Oregon State haven’t been able to celebrate in a long time. It’s going to be interesting to see how they respond to that.

They have an angry USC team on the other side who is desperately looking for someone to beatdown. If USC doesn’t route Oregon State here, Helton may be left in Corvallis. Even a close win might have people thinking Helton has to go.

That’s why Helton has to be ecstatic that Daniels is back to play this week. Daniels could be better, but he does have a lackluster defense to pick on Saturday night. Oregon State have found some offense this season, though the defense still leaves a lot to be desired.

If Colorado didn’t just sit back and think the game was in the bag and stayed aggressive, they likely don’t blow the game. The Beavers are 129th in the nation with 540 yards allowed per game. There is only one team worse than them in the FBS, UConn. They are also giving up a staggering 45.6 points per game.

Like I said, if USC can’t take advantage of this defense, then Helton can handle over his credentials and not bother to get on the team plane. He will be calling the plays this week, with Tee Martin getting the shaft. This should present a nice opportunity for Daniels to fill his stats against a bad defense. The Trojans have allowed 28.8 points per game this season.

The USC defense hasn’t been great by any means, but have played against some really good offenses, including Utah and Washington State. Jake Luton looked sharp with 3 touchdown passes last week against Colorado in the upset. He seen some brief action last season, throwing for 4 touchdowns and 4 interceptions.

Luton went into the starting job with a touchdown and interception this season, before he passed for 3 touchdowns. Look for a letdown this week after leading his team back against Colorado. That was one of their biggest wins in years, so it’s hard to believe that they won’t be hungover after a win like that. It likely won’t be as ugly as the 49-7 loss to Cal two games ago, but USC should be able to get a much-needed easy win in Corvallis.

The Bet
USC -16
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.