Utah State Aggies vs. Oregon State Beavers Pick – LA Bowl December 18, 2021

The Utah State Aggies and Oregon State Beavers headline the evening card on the first Saturday of bowl season. They meet in the Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood on Saturday night.

You read that right, the Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl. The names of bowl games just continue to get more interesting over the years, but a bowl named after a late night show host has to be up there with the most bizarre. Is Guillermo the halftime show?

In any case, this is a pretty good experience for both teams going to Los Angeles to play in the new SoFi Stadium. It’s a beautiful facility and better than having to go to the LendingTree Bowl or Quick Lane Bowl for a morning start in Detroit at Ford Field.

Utah State carries momentum going into the LA Bowl after winning the Mountain West Championship. They were not expected to win the conference, and weren’t even projected to go to the conference championship.

The Aggies won in style in the Mountain West Championship over the favored San Diego State Aztecs, 46-13. That was an impressive effort from Utah State, with quarterback Logan Bonner putting up big numbers over the Aztecs.

Bonner passed for 318 yards and 4 touchdowns versus a very good San Diego State secondary. The Aggies didn’t run the ball well, but Bonner put the offense on his shoulders. He targeted Brandon Bowling for 154 yards and 2 touchdowns on 8 receptions.

Oregon State had been sitting out since a 38-29 loss to the Oregon Ducks in their rivalry game on November 27. Everything was going well for Oregon State before they ran into the Ducks. The Beavers carry a record of 7-5 into the LA Bowl, while the Aggies look to finish at 11-3.

The Beavers were inconsistent this season going up and down. B.J. Baylor had a big season out of the backfield and has to be the main target for the Utah State defense. Baylor can run away with this game if he’s allowed to run free.

Head below for our free Utah State vs. Oregon State pick on December 16, 2021.

Utah State Aggies vs. Oregon State Beavers Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl Betting Odds and Team Statistics:

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Utah State Aggies +7 (+100) +235 Over 66.5 (-110)
Oregon State Beavers -7 (-120) -275 Under 66.5 (-110)
Team Data Utah State Aggies Oregon State Beavers
Overall Record 10-3 7-5
ATS Record 9-4-0 7-5-0
Away/Home Record NEUTRAL NEUTRAL
ATS Away/Home NEUTRAL NEUTRAL
Points Per Game 33.2 32.8
Points Against Per Game 25.3 25.9
Passing Yards Per Game 305.8 213.1
Rushing Yards Per Game 118.0 219.5

Utah State vs. Oregon State Prediction:

Logan Bonner is going to be the focal point of Utah State’s plans at SoFi Stadium on Saturday night. The Aggies are going to let him air it out and have some fun in this one, just like he’s been doing all season.

Bonner goes into the LA Bowl with 36 touchdowns and 11 interceptions on 61.2% completions. He is 12th in the nation with 3,560 passing yards. The Aggies’ passing game was 15th best in the FBS with 305.8 passing yards a game.

Their offense was efficient with an average of 33.2 points scored per game. Overall, the offense accumulated 453.6 yards per game for 18th in the country. They have been fine running the ball at 147.8 rushing yards a game, but the star attraction is their quarterback.

The biggest weakness for the Beavers is their secondary, so this could be a nice spot for Bonner to put up yards in primetime. They are 87th in the nation with 241.1 passing yards per game. Bonner should match up well versus the Beavers’ defense in this one.


Utah State Aggies vs. Oregon State Beavers Betting Trends:

Utah State

  • 6-1 ATS in their previous seven games
  • 5-2 ATS in their previous seven games as an underdog
  • OVER is 4-1 in their previous five games after covering the spread
  • OVER is 13-6 in their previous 19 games versus non-conference
  • OVER is 10-3 in their previous 13 games after allowing less than 20 points

Oregon State

  • 6-1 ATS in their previous seven games versus the Mountain West Conference
  • 11-3 ATS in their previous 14 games after a loss
  • OVER is 4-1 in their previous five games after a loss
  • OVER is 5-1 in their previous six games versus the Mountain West Conference
  • OVER is 4-1 in their previous five games at a neutral site

The biggest concern for Utah State in this one has to be their defense versus Oregon State running back B.J. Baylor. The Aggies weren’t particularly strong defending the run this season, and now they have a Pac 12 offense with a workhorse like Baylor to stop.

Utah State allowed 162.6 rushing yards per game for 82nd in the FBS. This was against Mountain West competition. They had to defend a couple of good running teams, but Baylor should be tough. Baylor goes into tonight with 1,295 yards and 13 touchdowns on 6 yards per carry.

The Oregon State running game is 13th in the nation with an impressive 219.5 rushing yards a game. They should be able to pound the ball to set up Chase Nolan and the passing game. Nolan 19 touchdowns and 9 interceptions on 63.5% completions. He’s also galloped for 293 yards and 3 scores on the ground.

This should be an up and down game between Bonner and the Oregon State running game. The Beavers should be able to rip off big gains with Baylor, though expect Bonner and Brandon Bowling to come back through the air. There should be some consideration for the OVER in an entertaining primetime matchup at SoFi Stadium.

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Utah State vs. Oregon State Pick
OVER 66.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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