Bowl Season has to be one of my favorite times of the year. Many people will say that Christmas and the Holidays are their favorite, but I just always associate college football bowl games with the Holiday season so it goes hand in hand with one another. Before I go any further, this is Kyle writing this particular write-up. Frequent readers of this website already know me from my work from baseball season, NFL football, hockey, and now I am jumping into the college football foray. My NHL picks are currently available here on The Sports Geek, but you’ll have to subscribe to MLBpredictions.org and http://NFLBettingPicks.org if you want in on those picks. It isn’t much of a subscription fee at all, so I definitely recommended inquiring into those sites for the remainder of the NFL season and for baseball season in a few months. Note that I turned in a profitable campaign on the diamond and I am currently doing it again with the NFL. You also have access to Kevin’s picks that have been extremely profitable this football season. While this will be my first college football pick here at the blog, I am a seasoned veteran when it comes to handicapping college football. If you’ve been following my twitter @NFLSportsGeek you are aware of that by now. My college football picks for the regular season finished at a 56% rate, so it was enough to turn a profit. With bowl season upon us though, there are certainly more opportunities to be had with college football.
Before we get to the first ever final 4 of college football, which promises to be an exciting affair with those matchups, we need to get through a bevy of other games. It all starts today with a slate of five games for Saturday. For my pick I’m turning to New Mexico, where the Utah State Aggies take on the UTEP Miners. UTEP won’t have to travel far to make it to Albuquerque for this one, but you can’t really bank on teams having any kind of home-field advantage in these lower-tier bowl games. Does UTEP even really attract that much of a crowd at their home games? In any case, don’t expect much of a crowd for this game, or any of the small bowl games for that matter. This is going to be a game that features one team that loves to hammer the ball on the ground, and another that has the ability to shut that down quickly. Utah State got humiliated against Boise State in their last game and I am sure they don’t want to finish the season off with consecutive losses, so I expect them to be up for this game. Jump below to get the free pick and my reasoning for it.
Utah State vs. UTEP Spread and Betting Odds:
Utah State Aggies -10 (-110)
@ UTEP Miners +10 (-110)
Betting odds provided by Bovada.lv
Utah State vs. UTEP Pick:
At 9-4 this Utah State team could have been much better than what their record indicates. 9-4 definitely isn’t a bad record at all, but given the talent on defense, and how the offense looked coming into the season, the Aggies were looking for much more than playing in the New Mexico Bowl. Utah State had to contend with multiple changes at quarterback, four to be exact, but settled in with one in their previous six games. If the Aggies had a good offense this season, they may very well have been in the Fiesta Bowl instead of Boise State. However, with that kind of turn over at quarterback, it has been tough on them. There have been flashes of the future from freshman quarterback Kent Myers, though. Myers is a dual-threat that has the potential to get it down through the air or with his legs. In the Aggies last six games, Myers tossed 5 touchdown passes while rushing for an additional 4 scores on 69.2 percent passing. He has only thrown 2 interceptions in that time. For a team with the kind of defense that they have, it bodes well for them against UTEP this afternoon.
Myers has been limiting the freshman mistakes and has let the game come to him. They got hammered, 50-19 against Boise their last game, but I think that should make them a little extra motivated for this bowl game. If UTEP has a chance in this game it is going to come from opportunistic turnovers, but Myers has made it tough on defenses in that regard. UTEP will look to pound the rock with their very talented running back, Aaron Jones. Jones enters with 1236 yards rushing with 11 touchdowns. But if they can’t crack the 26th best rush defense in the nation, UTEP quarterback Jameill Showers may have a rough go of it. Passing the football is not UTEP’s game and if Utah State forces them into that it’ll be game over in a convincing way. I do like Utah State to bounce back after that lack luster showing against Boise State. I always take elite defensive units against a good offense. I like Utah State to cover and win the Mexico Bowl today.
PICK: Utah State -10 (-110)