Virginia Cavaliers vs. Florida State Seminoles Pick – NCAAF Week 13

The ACC is a two-team race between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and Clemson Tigers. The Virginia Cavaliers and Florida State Seminoles don’t have a chance to get into the ACC Championship. For Florida State, it looks like it might be awhile before they are the class of the conference again.

A quick turnaround is unlikely for the Seminoles. They have a lot of holes to patch up before being regarded as an ACC powerhouse again. And with Clemson continuing to stockpile recruits, it’s going to be difficult for them to get back on that standing. They probably will somewhere down the road, but not anytime soon.

I’m not sure that Mike Norvell is the answer for the Seminoles. There’s nothing wrong with him as a head coach, though what kind of recruits is Norvell going to be able to reel in? I am not inclined to believe that Norvell is going to do much to attract top players to Tallahassee. There were calls to have him fired after a 16-13 loss against Georgia Tech to open this season.

Other than a 31-28 win over North Carolina on October 17, there has been nothing to get excited over when it comes to this football program in 2020. Since Jimbo Fisher left for Texas A&M in 2018, Seminole fans haven’t had much to get excited about. Jimbo already has Texas A&M playing as a top contender in the country. Coaching matters, and I wouldn’t be surprised if we see FSU searching for a new head coach again.

Virginia has been able to take some steps forward since finishing 2-10 in 2016. The Cavaliers are not a major contender in the ACC, but have taken themselves out of the basement and into respectability. They’re a team that expects to go to bowl games now. After finishing 9-5 last year, including an appearance in the Orange Bowl, Virginia has been average with a record of 4-4 this year.

They may not have won the Orange Bowl, but a 36-28 loss against Florida isn’t anything to feel bad about. The Cavaliers have a couple of winnable losses on their resume. They could have beaten NC State, though they fell by a score of 38-21, and losing 40-23 to Wake Forest on October 17 was a bad loss.

A hard-fought 19-14 loss against Miami, and 41-23 against Clemson isn’t bad in a sense. Their biggest win was over ranked North Carolina, 44-41, which was the beginning of a three-game winning streak for them going into today. Head below for our free Virginia vs. Florida State pick for November 28, 2020.

Virginia Cavaliers vs. Florida State Seminoles ACC Football Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Virginia -9.5 (-115)
  • FSU +9.5 (-105)
Moneyline:

  • Virginia -330
  • FSU 275
Total Rounds:

  • Over 57.5 (-110)
  • Under 57.5 (-110)

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Virginia vs. Florida State Prediction:

The Virginia offense is propelled by sophomore Brennan Armstrong. With former Virginia quarterback, Bryce Perkins, on an NFL practice squad, Virginia had to look for a new signal caller in 2020. Armstrong won the starting job and has been playing in good form for the most part. He struggled against NC State with 2 interceptions and no touchdowns, but has otherwise been fairly reliable for the Cavs.

Armstrong has passed for 15 touchdowns and 8 interceptions on 57.9% completions. His best asset is probably his legs. Armstrong has gained 399 yards and 4 touchdowns on 4.7 yards per carry in 2020. He doesn’t have the speed of Perkins, but has still been able to move the ball with his legs.

Virginia has scored an average of 31.1 points per game. They’ve also gained 420.3 yards of offense per contest. The Cavaliers haven’t been spectacular, but they make defenses prepare for their air and ground attack. They are balanced enough to generate offense both ways. Florida State has done a terrible job preparing for offenses this season.

Florida State has allowed opposing offenses to rack up 464.3 yards a game on average. They’ve also conceded 36.1 points per game. Their latest defeat was two weeks ago against NC State, 38-22. Bailey Hockman diced the Noles up for 3 touchdowns through the air to lead NC State to a comfortable win.

After a two-week break, how much motivation are the Seminoles going to have to play this game? I can’t see them getting too amped up for the Cavaliers. Meanwhile, Virginia still has goals of going to a bowl game. A strong finish would likely get them there. They spent a week preparing for Clemson, only to have it pulled the day of the game. I can’t see them being too interested in this matchup tonight. Virginia by a final score of 33-17 is where I’m going with this game.

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The Bet
VIRGINIA CAVALIERS -9.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.