Wisconsin Oregon Free Pick – Rose Bowl Spread Pick

The day after New Year’s Day features the game dubbed “the Grandaddy of them All” the Rose Bowl featuring the 9th ranked Wisconsin Badgers (11-2) Champions of the Big 10 taking on the 6th ranked Oregon Ducks (11-2), Champions of the Pac-12 Conference on Monday evening (5:00pm ET) in Pasadena, CA. Wisconsin won the inaugural Big 10 Championship Game 42-39 over Michigan St. on December 3rd, failing to cover the 9.5 point line. The Badgers won 5 games in a row to conclude the regular season. Oregon rolled by a score of 49-31 over UCLA in the inaugural PAC-12 Title Game, failing to cover a 31 point line. The Badgers are 7-5-1 ATS this season while Oregon is 6-5-2 ATS.

The Badgers offense ranks among the top scoring units in the nation at 44.6 points per game, the 4th best total among FBS teams. They rank 14th in total offense with 466.9 yards per game with NC State transfer Russell Wilson (2,879 yards passing, 31 TDs) at quarterback and Heisman Trophy finalist Montee Ball (1,759 rushing yards, 38 combined TDs) the primary cogs. The Badger defense is strong again this season, ranking in the top 10 nationally in: scoring defense with 17 PPG allowed (6th), total defense with 293 YPG allowed (8th) and passing defense with 155 YPG allowed (3rd). Oregon, with QB Darron Thomas and running back LaMichael James possesses an even more explosive offensive unit, ranking 3rd among FBS teams in scoring with 46.2 PPG and 5th in total offense with an average of 515.2 YPG. The Ducks’ defense has been a middle-of-the-pack unit, ranking 47th in scoring defense with 23.6 PPG allowed and 60th in total defense with 382.2 YPG allowed.

Wisconsin vs. Oregon Spread, Line and Betting Odds:


Wisconsin Badgers +5.5
@Oregon Ducks -5.5

Game Total:

Over 72 (-110)
Under 72 (-110)

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Wisconsin vs. Oregon Pick:

Wisconsin is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games and 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games overall. Oregon is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. The over is 5-1 in Wisconsin’s last 6 games against a team with a winning record and 8-2 in their last 10 games overall. The over is 5-2-1 in Oregon’s last 8 games against the Big 10 and 30-12-2 in their last 44 games as a favorite. The two teams have no recent meetings.

Wisconsin has a much more balanced offense this season than they have in past years with the athletic Wilson at QB. QB Scott Tolzein struggled (12/21, 159 yards) in last year’s Rose Bowl loss to Oregon, but Wilson should have much more success this year against an Oregon secondary that ranks a woeful 85th in the nation with 244.7 YPG allowed. At first glance, this game looks like it could be a track meet, with two of the top ten scoring units in the country meeting up. Oregon has gone over the total in their last four games, while Wisconsin went over in their last two games, allowing 471 total yards and 5.6 yards per rush to a Michigan St. team that is ranked only 60th in the country in total offense and does not have nearly the running game that Oregon has or play the type of fast tempo that the Ducks do. The usually perfect weather conditions in Pasadena should make for a fast track and provide the ideal conditions for a high-scoring game. Oregon will make sure the tempo of the game is fast, and Head Coach Chip Kelly may have a few wrinkles up his sleeve for the Badgers. Wisconsin, for the first time maybe ever has the skill players on offense to keep up with Oregon in a shoot-out, and they should be able to do so. This could be anyone’s game at the end, so the best bet is the over here.

PICK = Over 72